Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5 percent. The open contest follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's October 2025 retirement announcement to pursue the governorship, with Republican Chris McGowan advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary after serving as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson, a former state representative, won his party's nomination in a low-profile primary. The district's partisan voting index and Feenstra's prior 67 percent general-election margin underscore the structural GOP advantage. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$32,156 Объем
$32,156 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
$32,156 Объем
$32,156 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$20,064 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$12,091 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5 percent. The open contest follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's October 2025 retirement announcement to pursue the governorship, with Republican Chris McGowan advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary after serving as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson, a former state representative, won his party's nomination in a low-profile primary. The district's partisan voting index and Feenstra's prior 67 percent general-election margin underscore the structural GOP advantage. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$32,156Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5 percent. The open contest follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's October 2025 retirement announcement to pursue the governorship, with Republican Chris McGowan advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary after serving as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson, a former state representative, won his party's nomination in a low-profile primary. The district's partisan voting index and Feenstra's prior 67 percent general-election margin underscore the structural GOP advantage. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,156Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5 percent. The open contest follows incumbent Randy Feenstra's October 2025 retirement announcement to pursue the governorship, with Republican Chris McGowan advancing unopposed through the June 2026 primary after serving as Siouxland Chamber of Commerce president. Democrat Dave Dawson, a former state representative, won his party's nomination in a low-profile primary. The district's partisan voting index and Feenstra's prior 67 percent general-election margin underscore the structural GOP advantage. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3, 2026, election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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