Tennessee's 8th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff faces no opposition in the August Republican primary and benefits from the district's rural West Tennessee base plus eastern Memphis suburbs such as Bartlett and Germantown. May 2026 redistricting added Democratic-leaning areas from Shelby County but preserved a substantial Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary features multiple candidates including Heidi Kuhn, yet none have altered the race's fundamentals. With primaries still months away and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals reported, the implied probability aligns with the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and Kustoff's prior comfortable margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в палату представителей TN-08
Победитель выборов в палату представителей TN-08
$15,063 Объем
$15,063 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
86%
Демократическая партия
14%
$15,063 Объем
$15,063 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,163 Объем
86%
Демократическая партия
$4,900 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff faces no opposition in the August Republican primary and benefits from the district's rural West Tennessee base plus eastern Memphis suburbs such as Bartlett and Germantown. May 2026 redistricting added Democratic-leaning areas from Shelby County but preserved a substantial Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary features multiple candidates including Heidi Kuhn, yet none have altered the race's fundamentals. With primaries still months away and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals reported, the implied probability aligns with the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and Kustoff's prior comfortable margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$15,063Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff faces no opposition in the August Republican primary and benefits from the district's rural West Tennessee base plus eastern Memphis suburbs such as Bartlett and Germantown. May 2026 redistricting added Democratic-leaning areas from Shelby County but preserved a substantial Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary features multiple candidates including Heidi Kuhn, yet none have altered the race's fundamentals. With primaries still months away and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals reported, the implied probability aligns with the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and Kustoff's prior comfortable margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,063Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff faces no opposition in the August Republican primary and benefits from the district's rural West Tennessee base plus eastern Memphis suburbs such as Bartlett and Germantown. May 2026 redistricting added Democratic-leaning areas from Shelby County but preserved a substantial Republican tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The Democratic primary features multiple candidates including Heidi Kuhn, yet none have altered the race's fundamentals. With primaries still months away and no major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals reported, the implied probability aligns with the district's consistent partisan voting patterns and Kustoff's prior comfortable margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы