Republican Matt Van Epps holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 general election as the freshman incumbent in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of strong Republican performance, including a 22-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Tennessee’s May 2026 redistricting produced only marginal changes to the partisan composition despite shifting roughly 40% of voters into the district, preserving its Republican tilt. The August 6 Democratic primary featured Darden Copeland and other challengers but no indication of a competitive general election path. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and the absence of recent polling or events that have altered the baseline assessment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-07
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-07
$11,746 Объем
$11,746 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
87%
Демократическая партия
11%
$11,746 Объем
$11,746 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,972 Объем
87%
Демократическая партия
$2,774 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 general election as the freshman incumbent in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of strong Republican performance, including a 22-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Tennessee’s May 2026 redistricting produced only marginal changes to the partisan composition despite shifting roughly 40% of voters into the district, preserving its Republican tilt. The August 6 Democratic primary featured Darden Copeland and other challengers but no indication of a competitive general election path. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and the absence of recent polling or events that have altered the baseline assessment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$11,746Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 general election as the freshman incumbent in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of strong Republican performance, including a 22-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Tennessee’s May 2026 redistricting produced only marginal changes to the partisan composition despite shifting roughly 40% of voters into the district, preserving its Republican tilt. The August 6 Democratic primary featured Darden Copeland and other challengers but no indication of a competitive general election path. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and the absence of recent polling or events that have altered the baseline assessment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,746Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Matt Van Epps holds an 87% implied probability in the TN-07 general election as the freshman incumbent in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a history of strong Republican performance, including a 22-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. Tennessee’s May 2026 redistricting produced only marginal changes to the partisan composition despite shifting roughly 40% of voters into the district, preserving its Republican tilt. The August 6 Democratic primary featured Darden Copeland and other challengers but no indication of a competitive general election path. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and the absence of recent polling or events that have altered the baseline assessment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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