Greg Abbott maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to Texas's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2015, and primary win exceeding 80 percent. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single digits or near ties, with Hinojosa gaining ground through emphasis on affordability, public education, data center impacts, and proposals like household rebates from the rainy day fund. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican, though some have shifted toward toss-up amid mixed September surveys. Prediction markets price in these structural factors and historical voting patterns over short-term volatility, while noting Hinojosa's momentum among independents and certain demographics as a potential swing factor before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Техаса
Победитель выборов губернатора Техаса
$179,077 Объем
$179,077 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Абботт (Р)
73%
Джина Хинохоса (Д)
27%
$179,077 Объем
$179,077 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Абботт (Р)
$72,711 Объем
73%
Джина Хинохоса (Д)
$106,366 Объем
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Greg Abbott maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to Texas's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2015, and primary win exceeding 80 percent. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single digits or near ties, with Hinojosa gaining ground through emphasis on affordability, public education, data center impacts, and proposals like household rebates from the rainy day fund. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican, though some have shifted toward toss-up amid mixed September surveys. Prediction markets price in these structural factors and historical voting patterns over short-term volatility, while noting Hinojosa's momentum among independents and certain demographics as a potential swing factor before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$179,077Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Greg Abbott maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to Texas's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2015, and primary win exceeding 80 percent. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single digits or near ties, with Hinojosa gaining ground through emphasis on affordability, public education, data center impacts, and proposals like household rebates from the rainy day fund. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican, though some have shifted toward toss-up amid mixed September surveys. Prediction markets price in these structural factors and historical voting patterns over short-term volatility, while noting Hinojosa's momentum among independents and certain demographics as a potential swing factor before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$179,077Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Abbott maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to Texas's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2015, and primary win exceeding 80 percent. Recent polling averages show the race tightening to single digits or near ties, with Hinojosa gaining ground through emphasis on affordability, public education, data center impacts, and proposals like household rebates from the rainy day fund. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican, though some have shifted toward toss-up amid mixed September surveys. Prediction markets price in these structural factors and historical voting patterns over short-term volatility, while noting Hinojosa's momentum among independents and certain demographics as a potential swing factor before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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