Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination easily in the March 2026 primaries and maintains a substantial lead in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide contests. Recent polling, including surveys from late May and early June 2026, shows Abbott ahead of Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa by margins of 5 to 7 points among likely voters, though some results indicate modest narrowing tied to independent and moderate support. Texas's electoral history, strong Republican turnout patterns, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions reinforce trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican victory on November 3. Hinojosa's primary win consolidated Democratic support but has yet to shift the broader structural dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Техаса
$13,669 Объем
$13,669 Объем

Республиканец
83%

Демократ
18%
$13,669 Объем
$13,669 Объем

Республиканец
83%

Демократ
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott secured his party's nomination easily in the March 2026 primaries and maintains a substantial lead in a state with consistent Republican advantages in statewide contests. Recent polling, including surveys from late May and early June 2026, shows Abbott ahead of Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa by margins of 5 to 7 points among likely voters, though some results indicate modest narrowing tied to independent and moderate support. Texas's electoral history, strong Republican turnout patterns, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions reinforce trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican victory on November 3. Hinojosa's primary win consolidated Democratic support but has yet to shift the broader structural dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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