Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to her incumbency in a state with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris won by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Consistent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10–12 points, supported by her focus on targeted tax relief, child care expansion, and insurance cost reductions. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik withdrew, consolidated the Republican primary but remains less known statewide. Traders reflect this structural and polling reality in the current odds. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger could still narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
$112,303 Объем
$112,303 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кэти Хокул (Д)
95%
Брюс Блейкман (Р)
6%
$112,303 Объем
$112,303 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кэти Хокул (Д)
$49,727 Объем
95%
Брюс Блейкман (Р)
$62,575 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to her incumbency in a state with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris won by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Consistent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10–12 points, supported by her focus on targeted tax relief, child care expansion, and insurance cost reductions. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik withdrew, consolidated the Republican primary but remains less known statewide. Traders reflect this structural and polling reality in the current odds. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger could still narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Объем
$112,303Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to her incumbency in a state with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris won by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Consistent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10–12 points, supported by her focus on targeted tax relief, child care expansion, and insurance cost reductions. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik withdrew, consolidated the Republican primary but remains less known statewide. Traders reflect this structural and polling reality in the current odds. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger could still narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$112,303Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race due to her incumbency in a state with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris won by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Consistent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10–12 points, supported by her focus on targeted tax relief, child care expansion, and insurance cost reductions. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump after Elise Stefanik withdrew, consolidated the Republican primary but remains less known statewide. Traders reflect this structural and polling reality in the current odds. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger could still narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы