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icon for Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау

icon for Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Брюс Блэйкман (Р)

Брюс Блэйкман (Р)

$350 Объем

87%

icon for Кэти Хокул (Д)

Кэти Хокул (Д)

$0 Объем

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive and 2026 gubernatorial nominee, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying his home county against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Nassau's suburban voter base has consistently favored Republicans in recent countywide contests, including Blakeman's own 12-point reelection margin. A June Siena/Newsday poll showed him narrowly ahead of Hochul among Nassau voters in the statewide race, while broader polling indicates a tightening contest overall. With both candidates advancing uncontested through June primaries and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects Blakeman's structural local advantages in turnout patterns and name recognition over Hochul's statewide positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Объем
$350
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive and 2026 gubernatorial nominee, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying his home county against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Nassau's suburban voter base has consistently favored Republicans in recent countywide contests, including Blakeman's own 12-point reelection margin. A June Siena/Newsday poll showed him narrowly ahead of Hochul among Nassau voters in the statewide race, while broader polling indicates a tightening contest overall. With both candidates advancing uncontested through June primaries and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects Blakeman's structural local advantages in turnout patterns and name recognition over Hochul's statewide positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Объем
$350
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Стив Хилтон округ Фресно на выборах губернатора Калифорнии в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Стив Хилтон округ Фресно на выборах губернатора Калифорнии в 2026 году?

56%
Да
icon for Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на выборах губернатора Нью-Йорка в промежуточных выборах 2026 года находиться в диапазоне от 5 500 000 до 6 000 000?

Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на выборах губернатора Нью-Йорка в промежуточных выборах 2026 года находиться в диапазоне от 5 500 000 до 6 000 000?

44%
Да
icon for Победят ли демократы в округе Кларк на выборах губернатора Невады в 2026 году?

Победят ли демократы в округе Кларк на выборах губернатора Невады в 2026 году?

82%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Брюс Блэйкман (Р)» с 87%, за ним следует «Кэти Хокул (Д)» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 87¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау» — «Брюс Блэйкман (Р)» с 87%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Кэти Хокул (Д)» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы губернатора Нью-Йорка: победитель округа Нассау» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.