Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, capitalizing on redistricting that strengthened the district's conservative base and endorsements including from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. The seat, encompassing northern Houston suburbs in Harris and Montgomery counties, carries a strong Republican lean consistent with historical results and current race ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Toth reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling or major developments favoring Democrat Shaun Finnie since the primaries. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,448 Объем
$23,448 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Стив Тот (Р)
94%
Шон Финни (Д)
7%
$23,448 Объем
$23,448 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Стив Тот (Р)
$11,634 Объем
94%
Шон Финни (Д)
$11,814 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, capitalizing on redistricting that strengthened the district's conservative base and endorsements including from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. The seat, encompassing northern Houston suburbs in Harris and Montgomery counties, carries a strong Republican lean consistent with historical results and current race ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Toth reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling or major developments favoring Democrat Shaun Finnie since the primaries. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$23,448Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, capitalizing on redistricting that strengthened the district's conservative base and endorsements including from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. The seat, encompassing northern Houston suburbs in Harris and Montgomery counties, carries a strong Republican lean consistent with historical results and current race ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Toth reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling or major developments favoring Democrat Shaun Finnie since the primaries. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,448Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district by defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, capitalizing on redistricting that strengthened the district's conservative base and endorsements including from President Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. The seat, encompassing northern Houston suburbs in Harris and Montgomery counties, carries a strong Republican lean consistent with historical results and current race ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Toth reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling or major developments favoring Democrat Shaun Finnie since the primaries. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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