The solidly Republican character of Texas's 6th congressional district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth, continues to shape trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Historical results, including Ellzey's 66 percent margin in 2024 and Donald Trump's 60 percent district performance that year, reinforce the partisan baseline. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with the current 88 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Limited activity since the primaries leaves few immediate catalysts for movement, though standard midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
88%
Демократическая партия
12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$2,751 Объем
88%
Демократическая партия
$4,403 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 6th congressional district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth, continues to shape trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Historical results, including Ellzey's 66 percent margin in 2024 and Donald Trump's 60 percent district performance that year, reinforce the partisan baseline. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with the current 88 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Limited activity since the primaries leaves few immediate catalysts for movement, though standard midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$7,154Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 6th congressional district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth, continues to shape trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Historical results, including Ellzey's 66 percent margin in 2024 and Donald Trump's 60 percent district performance that year, reinforce the partisan baseline. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with the current 88 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Limited activity since the primaries leaves few immediate catalysts for movement, though standard midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,154Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas's 6th congressional district, which encompasses suburban areas south of Dallas-Fort Worth, continues to shape trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in the March 3 primary with over 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the other side. Historical results, including Ellzey's 66 percent margin in 2024 and Donald Trump's 60 percent district performance that year, reinforce the partisan baseline. The Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, consistent with the current 88 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee. Limited activity since the primaries leaves few immediate catalysts for movement, though standard midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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