Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 21st congressional district with roughly 61 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, while Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, sits in a district that Trump carried by 11.5 points in 2024 and that underwent mid-decade redistricting favoring Republicans overall. Teixeira’s substantial fundraising lead and name recognition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current fundamentals point to limited pathways for Hook to overcome the district’s partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-21 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-21 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$64,159 Объем
$64,159 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Тейшейра (Р)
94%
Кристин Хук (Д)
6%
$64,159 Объем
$64,159 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Тейшейра (Р)
$34,104 Объем
94%
Кристин Хук (Д)
$30,054 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 21st congressional district with roughly 61 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, while Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, sits in a district that Trump carried by 11.5 points in 2024 and that underwent mid-decade redistricting favoring Republicans overall. Teixeira’s substantial fundraising lead and name recognition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current fundamentals point to limited pathways for Hook to overcome the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$64,159Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 21st congressional district with roughly 61 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, while Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, sits in a district that Trump carried by 11.5 points in 2024 and that underwent mid-decade redistricting favoring Republicans overall. Teixeira’s substantial fundraising lead and name recognition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current fundamentals point to limited pathways for Hook to overcome the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$64,159Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 21st congressional district with roughly 61 percent in the March 2026 primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, while Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, sits in a district that Trump carried by 11.5 points in 2024 and that underwent mid-decade redistricting favoring Republicans overall. Teixeira’s substantial fundraising lead and name recognition have reinforced trader expectations of a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current fundamentals point to limited pathways for Hook to overcome the district’s partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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