Ademola Adeleke holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability as the likely winner of the Osun State gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on his position as the incumbent PDP governor. His strong organizational base within the ruling party, combined with limited visible challenges from major opposition figures such as those fielded by the APC, has anchored market pricing. Nomination processes and candidate screening in the lead-up to the poll have narrowed viable alternatives, with other named contenders trading at 5.5% or below. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late candidate withdrawals, significant shifts in voter turnout among key senatorial districts, or unexpected internal party disputes ahead of the election date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдемола Аделеке 93%
Бола Ойебамиджи 6%
Наджим Салам <1%
Таофик Аделеке <1%
$19,944 Объем
$19,944 Объем
Адемола Аделеке
93%
Бола Ойебамиджи
6%
Наджим Салам
<1%
Таофик Аделеке
<1%
Фаринлойе Оларенваджу
<1%
Салиу Ойелами
<1%
Эсан Оладжиде
<1%
Адефеми Адесуи
<1%
Адевале Адебайо
<1%
Адеагбо Опавойе
<1%
Адещина Адейеми-Доро
<1%
Адемола Аделеке 93%
Бола Ойебамиджи 6%
Наджим Салам <1%
Таофик Аделеке <1%
$19,944 Объем
$19,944 Объем
Адемола Аделеке
93%
Бола Ойебамиджи
6%
Наджим Салам
<1%
Таофик Аделеке
<1%
Фаринлойе Оларенваджу
<1%
Салиу Ойелами
<1%
Эсан Оладжиде
<1%
Адефеми Адесуи
<1%
Адевале Адебайо
<1%
Адеагбо Опавойе
<1%
Адещина Адейеми-Доро
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Osun State and Nigeria, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://inecnigeria.org).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ademola Adeleke holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability as the likely winner of the Osun State gubernatorial election, reflecting trader consensus on his position as the incumbent PDP governor. His strong organizational base within the ruling party, combined with limited visible challenges from major opposition figures such as those fielded by the APC, has anchored market pricing. Nomination processes and candidate screening in the lead-up to the poll have narrowed viable alternatives, with other named contenders trading at 5.5% or below. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late candidate withdrawals, significant shifts in voter turnout among key senatorial districts, or unexpected internal party disputes ahead of the election date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы