Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination for Texas's 20th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 88 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district, centered on western San Antonio in Bexar County, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting its demographic makeup and voting history. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed from his primary, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat long rated safe for Democrats. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments, such as scandals or redistricting shifts, that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking national political changes or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-20 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-20 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$10,988 Объем
$10,988 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$10,988 Объем
$10,988 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,001 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$1,987 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination for Texas's 20th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 88 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district, centered on western San Antonio in Bexar County, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting its demographic makeup and voting history. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed from his primary, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat long rated safe for Democrats. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments, such as scandals or redistricting shifts, that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking national political changes or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$10,988Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination for Texas's 20th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 88 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district, centered on western San Antonio in Bexar County, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting its demographic makeup and voting history. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed from his primary, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat long rated safe for Democrats. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments, such as scandals or redistricting shifts, that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking national political changes or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,988Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination for Texas's 20th congressional district in the March 2026 primary with roughly 88 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district, centered on western San Antonio in Bexar County, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting its demographic makeup and voting history. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed from his primary, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat long rated safe for Democrats. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 90 percent aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments, such as scandals or redistricting shifts, that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Late-breaking national political changes or candidate-specific events remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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