Joaquin Castro's long incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus around a strong hold for the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat features a D+12 to D+16 Partisan Voter Index, a large Hispanic population, and urban demographics that have delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Castro secured his 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces no structural path to competitiveness under current boundaries. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late national surge for Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or major turnout anomalies could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district's fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-20 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-20 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$27,076 Объем
$27,076 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$27,076 Объем
$27,076 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,383 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$14,693 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joaquin Castro's long incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus around a strong hold for the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat features a D+12 to D+16 Partisan Voter Index, a large Hispanic population, and urban demographics that have delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Castro secured his 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces no structural path to competitiveness under current boundaries. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late national surge for Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or major turnout anomalies could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$27,076Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joaquin Castro's long incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus around a strong hold for the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat features a D+12 to D+16 Partisan Voter Index, a large Hispanic population, and urban demographics that have delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Castro secured his 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces no structural path to competitiveness under current boundaries. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late national surge for Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or major turnout anomalies could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district's fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,076Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Joaquin Castro's long incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus around a strong hold for the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat features a D+12 to D+16 Partisan Voter Index, a large Hispanic population, and urban demographics that have delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Castro secured his 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while the Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces no structural path to competitiveness under current boundaries. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late national surge for Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or major turnout anomalies could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability events given the district's fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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