California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who succeeded Adam Schiff in 2025, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with over 50% support, positioning her to face a Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's demographics, voting history, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable primary challenges. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a substantial national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
$12,737 Объем
$12,737 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$12,737 Объем
$12,737 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,112 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$6,625 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who succeeded Adam Schiff in 2025, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with over 50% support, positioning her to face a Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's demographics, voting history, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable primary challenges. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a substantial national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$12,737Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who succeeded Adam Schiff in 2025, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with over 50% support, positioning her to face a Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's demographics, voting history, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable primary challenges. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a substantial national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,737Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who succeeded Adam Schiff in 2025, advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary with over 50% support, positioning her to face a Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district's demographics, voting history, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable primary challenges. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or a substantial national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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