Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52% of the vote against Republican Scott Meyers, who received about 17%, in California's 30th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple forecasters' solid or safe ratings and Friedman's 2024 general election margin, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. No major developments since the primary have shifted the race dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal driven by factors such as a late scandal affecting Friedman, an unexpected national partisan swing, or turnout anomalies that overcome the district's established voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
$24,273 Объем
$24,273 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
4%
$24,273 Объем
$24,273 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,073 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$11,200 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52% of the vote against Republican Scott Meyers, who received about 17%, in California's 30th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple forecasters' solid or safe ratings and Friedman's 2024 general election margin, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. No major developments since the primary have shifted the race dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal driven by factors such as a late scandal affecting Friedman, an unexpected national partisan swing, or turnout anomalies that overcome the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$24,273Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52% of the vote against Republican Scott Meyers, who received about 17%, in California's 30th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple forecasters' solid or safe ratings and Friedman's 2024 general election margin, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. No major developments since the primary have shifted the race dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal driven by factors such as a late scandal affecting Friedman, an unexpected national partisan swing, or turnout anomalies that overcome the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,273Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52% of the vote against Republican Scott Meyers, who received about 17%, in California's 30th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple forecasters' solid or safe ratings and Friedman's 2024 general election margin, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. No major developments since the primary have shifted the race dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election. A Republican win would require an unprecedented reversal driven by factors such as a late scandal affecting Friedman, an unexpected national partisan swing, or turnout anomalies that overcome the district's established voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы