Florida's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart facing only nominal primary opposition and holding a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin. The April 2026 redistricting map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, produced a statewide 24-4 Republican tilt that preserved the district's partisan character despite prior adjustments. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. No competitive Democratic general-election challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-26
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-26
$29,525 Объем
$29,525 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
81%
Демократическая партия
16%
$29,525 Объем
$29,525 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$13,431 Объем
81%
Демократическая партия
$16,094 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart facing only nominal primary opposition and holding a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin. The April 2026 redistricting map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, produced a statewide 24-4 Republican tilt that preserved the district's partisan character despite prior adjustments. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. No competitive Democratic general-election challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$29,525Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart facing only nominal primary opposition and holding a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin. The April 2026 redistricting map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, produced a statewide 24-4 Republican tilt that preserved the district's partisan character despite prior adjustments. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. No competitive Democratic general-election challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,525Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 cycle, with incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart facing only nominal primary opposition and holding a substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic primary candidates Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin. The April 2026 redistricting map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling in late May, produced a statewide 24-4 Republican tilt that preserved the district's partisan character despite prior adjustments. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican. No competitive Democratic general-election challenger has emerged ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, aligning with trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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