Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,131 Объем
$17,131 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
17%
$17,131 Объем
$17,131 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,705 Объем
84%
Демократическая партия
$10,426 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$17,131Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,131Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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