Louisiana’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide and making a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election structurally difficult. Incumbent Julia Letlow’s decision to run for Senate has created an open-seat contest featuring a crowded Republican primary among state legislators and local figures, while Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid Republican, aligning with the 89.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows a competitive field, yet the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes has kept the overall outlook stable for the GOP nominee. Scheduled primary and general election dates remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-05
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
90%
Демократическая партия
11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$2,452 Объем
90%
Демократическая партия
$4,018 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide and making a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election structurally difficult. Incumbent Julia Letlow’s decision to run for Senate has created an open-seat contest featuring a crowded Republican primary among state legislators and local figures, while Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid Republican, aligning with the 89.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows a competitive field, yet the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes has kept the overall outlook stable for the GOP nominee. Scheduled primary and general election dates remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$6,471Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide and making a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election structurally difficult. Incumbent Julia Letlow’s decision to run for Senate has created an open-seat contest featuring a crowded Republican primary among state legislators and local figures, while Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid Republican, aligning with the 89.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows a competitive field, yet the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes has kept the overall outlook stable for the GOP nominee. Scheduled primary and general election dates remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$6,471Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18, ranking among the most Republican-leaning seats nationwide and making a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election structurally difficult. Incumbent Julia Letlow’s decision to run for Senate has created an open-seat contest featuring a crowded Republican primary among state legislators and local figures, while Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid Republican, aligning with the 89.5% implied probability assigned by traders. Recent polling in the Republican primary shows a competitive field, yet the absence of major scandals or redistricting changes has kept the overall outlook stable for the GOP nominee. Scheduled primary and general election dates remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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