Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision has transformed Louisiana's 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat centered on Baton Rouge, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican flip by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 primary, including Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams, with the district's partisan voting index now favoring the GOP by double digits. Trader consensus at 85.5% Republican reflects these structural changes and historical voting patterns, while the low Democratic probability accounts for the limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics before the December general election if required.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$59,546 Объем
$59,546 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
85%
Демократическая партия
10%
$59,546 Объем
$59,546 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$31,768 Объем
85%
Демократическая партия
$27,778 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision has transformed Louisiana's 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat centered on Baton Rouge, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican flip by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 primary, including Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams, with the district's partisan voting index now favoring the GOP by double digits. Trader consensus at 85.5% Republican reflects these structural changes and historical voting patterns, while the low Democratic probability accounts for the limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics before the December general election if required.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$59,546Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision has transformed Louisiana's 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat centered on Baton Rouge, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican flip by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 primary, including Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams, with the district's partisan voting index now favoring the GOP by double digits. Trader consensus at 85.5% Republican reflects these structural changes and historical voting patterns, while the low Democratic probability accounts for the limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics before the December general election if required.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$59,546Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision has transformed Louisiana's 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat centered on Baton Rouge, shifting it from a narrow Democratic hold in 2024 to ratings of Solid Republican or Safe Republican flip by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 primary, including Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams, with the district's partisan voting index now favoring the GOP by double digits. Trader consensus at 85.5% Republican reflects these structural changes and historical voting patterns, while the low Democratic probability accounts for the limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics before the December general election if required.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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