Louisiana's 6th congressional district faces a November 2026 election under newly drawn lines following the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling that the prior majority-Black configuration constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. State lawmakers advanced replacement maps clustering the district around predominantly White communities in the Baton Rouge area and southern Louisiana, shifting the seat from its 2024 Democratic hold into territory rated more favorable to Republican candidates by multiple forecasters. Multiple Republicans have qualified for the November primary alongside incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, with traders pricing in an 84 percent probability of a Republican victory based on the altered electoral math and historical voting patterns in the revised boundaries. No major candidate announcements or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$58,204 Объем
$58,204 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
86%
Демократическая партия
13%
$58,204 Объем
$58,204 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$31,593 Объем
86%
Демократическая партия
$26,611 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district faces a November 2026 election under newly drawn lines following the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling that the prior majority-Black configuration constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. State lawmakers advanced replacement maps clustering the district around predominantly White communities in the Baton Rouge area and southern Louisiana, shifting the seat from its 2024 Democratic hold into territory rated more favorable to Republican candidates by multiple forecasters. Multiple Republicans have qualified for the November primary alongside incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, with traders pricing in an 84 percent probability of a Republican victory based on the altered electoral math and historical voting patterns in the revised boundaries. No major candidate announcements or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$58,204Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district faces a November 2026 election under newly drawn lines following the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling that the prior majority-Black configuration constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. State lawmakers advanced replacement maps clustering the district around predominantly White communities in the Baton Rouge area and southern Louisiana, shifting the seat from its 2024 Democratic hold into territory rated more favorable to Republican candidates by multiple forecasters. Multiple Republicans have qualified for the November primary alongside incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, with traders pricing in an 84 percent probability of a Republican victory based on the altered electoral math and historical voting patterns in the revised boundaries. No major candidate announcements or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$58,204Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th congressional district faces a November 2026 election under newly drawn lines following the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling that the prior majority-Black configuration constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. State lawmakers advanced replacement maps clustering the district around predominantly White communities in the Baton Rouge area and southern Louisiana, shifting the seat from its 2024 Democratic hold into territory rated more favorable to Republican candidates by multiple forecasters. Multiple Republicans have qualified for the November primary alongside incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, with traders pricing in an 84 percent probability of a Republican victory based on the altered electoral math and historical voting patterns in the revised boundaries. No major candidate announcements or polling shifts have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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