Louisiana's 6th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields, who won election in 2024 under the existing map. A late April 2026 Supreme Court ruling found the current congressional boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the Republican-controlled state legislature to advance new maps in May that would eliminate one majority-Black district. Analysts at the Cook Political Report shifted the race to Solid Republican in early June, citing the likely reconfiguration. Multiple Republican candidates have already filed ahead of the August filing deadline and November 3 primary, while traders assign the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting expectations that revised district lines will favor GOP performance over the Democratic incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$59,516 Объем
$59,516 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
11%
$59,516 Объем
$59,516 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$31,738 Объем
84%
Демократическая партия
$27,778 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields, who won election in 2024 under the existing map. A late April 2026 Supreme Court ruling found the current congressional boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the Republican-controlled state legislature to advance new maps in May that would eliminate one majority-Black district. Analysts at the Cook Political Report shifted the race to Solid Republican in early June, citing the likely reconfiguration. Multiple Republican candidates have already filed ahead of the August filing deadline and November 3 primary, while traders assign the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting expectations that revised district lines will favor GOP performance over the Democratic incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$59,516Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields, who won election in 2024 under the existing map. A late April 2026 Supreme Court ruling found the current congressional boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the Republican-controlled state legislature to advance new maps in May that would eliminate one majority-Black district. Analysts at the Cook Political Report shifted the race to Solid Republican in early June, citing the likely reconfiguration. Multiple Republican candidates have already filed ahead of the August filing deadline and November 3 primary, while traders assign the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting expectations that revised district lines will favor GOP performance over the Democratic incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$59,516Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields, who won election in 2024 under the existing map. A late April 2026 Supreme Court ruling found the current congressional boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting the Republican-controlled state legislature to advance new maps in May that would eliminate one majority-Black district. Analysts at the Cook Political Report shifted the race to Solid Republican in early June, citing the likely reconfiguration. Multiple Republican candidates have already filed ahead of the August filing deadline and November 3 primary, while traders assign the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting expectations that revised district lines will favor GOP performance over the Democratic incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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