Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+17 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter, first elected in 2021, faces only a Democratic primary opponent with no prominent Republican challenger filed, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections were postponed amid redistricting litigation, yet the existing map remains in place for the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability because the district’s voter composition and Carter’s incumbency create high structural barriers for Republicans. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate filing, major scandal, or successful legal challenge altering boundaries could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
$43,558 Объем
$43,558 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
$43,558 Объем
$43,558 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$23,422 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$20,136 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+17 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter, first elected in 2021, faces only a Democratic primary opponent with no prominent Republican challenger filed, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections were postponed amid redistricting litigation, yet the existing map remains in place for the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability because the district’s voter composition and Carter’s incumbency create high structural barriers for Republicans. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate filing, major scandal, or successful legal challenge altering boundaries could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$43,558Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+17 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter, first elected in 2021, faces only a Democratic primary opponent with no prominent Republican challenger filed, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections were postponed amid redistricting litigation, yet the existing map remains in place for the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability because the district’s voter composition and Carter’s incumbency create high structural barriers for Republicans. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate filing, major scandal, or successful legal challenge altering boundaries could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$43,558Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+17 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter, first elected in 2021, faces only a Democratic primary opponent with no prominent Republican challenger filed, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections were postponed amid redistricting litigation, yet the existing map remains in place for the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability because the district’s voter composition and Carter’s incumbency create high structural barriers for Republicans. Late developments such as an unexpected candidate filing, major scandal, or successful legal challenge altering boundaries could still shift the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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