Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt rooted in its urban voter base and historical election results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with no Republican candidate positioned to mount a competitive challenge in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.8% probability for a Democratic winner aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. A credible challenge would require either substantial redistricting that alters the electorate or an unexpected late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
$60,994 Объем
$60,994 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
3%
$60,994 Объем
$60,994 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$34,748 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$26,246 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt rooted in its urban voter base and historical election results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with no Republican candidate positioned to mount a competitive challenge in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.8% probability for a Democratic winner aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. A credible challenge would require either substantial redistricting that alters the electorate or an unexpected late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$60,994Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt rooted in its urban voter base and historical election results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with no Republican candidate positioned to mount a competitive challenge in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.8% probability for a Democratic winner aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. A credible challenge would require either substantial redistricting that alters the electorate or an unexpected late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$60,994Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, maintains a consistent Democratic tilt rooted in its urban voter base and historical election results. Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, with no Republican candidate positioned to mount a competitive challenge in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.8% probability for a Democratic winner aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a shift. A credible challenge would require either substantial redistricting that alters the electorate or an unexpected late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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