Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the South, anchored by a heavily urban electorate in New Orleans and surrounding parishes that consistently delivers large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party competition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no Republican challengers filed as of mid-June. Recent election-date adjustments following redistricting litigation and the shift to a majority-vote system have not altered the underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the district’s structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party opposition. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican entry before the August filing deadline or a major personal or legal development involving Carter that depresses Democratic turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
$43,558 Объем
$43,558 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
$43,558 Объем
$43,558 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$23,422 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$20,136 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the South, anchored by a heavily urban electorate in New Orleans and surrounding parishes that consistently delivers large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party competition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no Republican challengers filed as of mid-June. Recent election-date adjustments following redistricting litigation and the shift to a majority-vote system have not altered the underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the district’s structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party opposition. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican entry before the August filing deadline or a major personal or legal development involving Carter that depresses Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$43,558Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the South, anchored by a heavily urban electorate in New Orleans and surrounding parishes that consistently delivers large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party competition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no Republican challengers filed as of mid-June. Recent election-date adjustments following redistricting litigation and the shift to a majority-vote system have not altered the underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the district’s structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party opposition. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican entry before the August filing deadline or a major personal or legal development involving Carter that depresses Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$43,558Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the South, anchored by a heavily urban electorate in New Orleans and surrounding parishes that consistently delivers large margins for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Troy Carter faces only intra-party competition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 nonpartisan primary, with no Republican challengers filed as of mid-June. Recent election-date adjustments following redistricting litigation and the shift to a majority-vote system have not altered the underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent Democratic probability therefore tracks the district’s structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party opposition. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican entry before the August filing deadline or a major personal or legal development involving Carter that depresses Democratic turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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