Louisiana's 1st congressional district, anchored in Republican-leaning suburbs north of New Orleans and extending into coastal areas, has consistently delivered strong margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Steve Scalise's 66.8% victory in 2024. As House Majority Leader, Scalise benefits from high name recognition and fundraising dominance heading into the November 2026 closed partisan primary, where he faces only a minor intra-party challenger alongside the Democratic entrant. Election analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates. The 90.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or a sweeping national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voting patterns before the December general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-01
$37,648 Объем
$37,648 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$37,648 Объем
$37,648 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$16,151 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$21,498 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district, anchored in Republican-leaning suburbs north of New Orleans and extending into coastal areas, has consistently delivered strong margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Steve Scalise's 66.8% victory in 2024. As House Majority Leader, Scalise benefits from high name recognition and fundraising dominance heading into the November 2026 closed partisan primary, where he faces only a minor intra-party challenger alongside the Democratic entrant. Election analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates. The 90.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or a sweeping national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voting patterns before the December general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$37,648Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district, anchored in Republican-leaning suburbs north of New Orleans and extending into coastal areas, has consistently delivered strong margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Steve Scalise's 66.8% victory in 2024. As House Majority Leader, Scalise benefits from high name recognition and fundraising dominance heading into the November 2026 closed partisan primary, where he faces only a minor intra-party challenger alongside the Democratic entrant. Election analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates. The 90.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or a sweeping national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voting patterns before the December general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,648Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st congressional district, anchored in Republican-leaning suburbs north of New Orleans and extending into coastal areas, has consistently delivered strong margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Steve Scalise's 66.8% victory in 2024. As House Majority Leader, Scalise benefits from high name recognition and fundraising dominance heading into the November 2026 closed partisan primary, where he faces only a minor intra-party challenger alongside the Democratic entrant. Election analysts rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the district's underlying partisan composition and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates. The 90.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected primary disruption or a sweeping national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voting patterns before the December general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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