Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a fundraising and organizational edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on Long Island that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt and LaLota’s unopposed advance through the June 23 Republican primary. Democrats face an immediate internal contest among candidates including Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant, with the winner then challenging in the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including the generic congressional ballot and turnout patterns in suburban battlegrounds, continue to shape trader assessments of whether the seat remains in Republican hands or becomes competitive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$30,702 Объем
$30,702 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
57%
Демократическая партия
42%
$30,702 Объем
$30,702 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,094 Объем
57%
Демократическая партия
$21,609 Объем
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a fundraising and organizational edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on Long Island that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt and LaLota’s unopposed advance through the June 23 Republican primary. Democrats face an immediate internal contest among candidates including Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant, with the winner then challenging in the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including the generic congressional ballot and turnout patterns in suburban battlegrounds, continue to shape trader assessments of whether the seat remains in Republican hands or becomes competitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$30,702Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a fundraising and organizational edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on Long Island that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt and LaLota’s unopposed advance through the June 23 Republican primary. Democrats face an immediate internal contest among candidates including Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant, with the winner then challenging in the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including the generic congressional ballot and turnout patterns in suburban battlegrounds, continue to shape trader assessments of whether the seat remains in Republican hands or becomes competitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$30,702Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a fundraising and organizational edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on Long Island that he carried by roughly 11 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan tilt and LaLota’s unopposed advance through the June 23 Republican primary. Democrats face an immediate internal contest among candidates including Lukas Ventouras and Christopher Gallant, with the winner then challenging in the November general election. National midterm dynamics, including the generic congressional ballot and turnout patterns in suburban battlegrounds, continue to shape trader assessments of whether the seat remains in Republican hands or becomes competitive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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