Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York's 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat's Republican lean, combined with LaLota's incumbency and strong fundraising position, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 69.5%. LaLota faced no primary opposition on June 23, while Democrat Chris Gallant secured his party's nomination. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory despite national midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. Recent primary results and the absence of major polling shifts have kept probabilities stable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$39,228 Объем
$39,228 Объем
Республиканская партия
70%
Демократическая партия
30%
$39,228 Объем
$39,228 Объем
Республиканская партия
70%
Демократическая партия
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York's 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat's Republican lean, combined with LaLota's incumbency and strong fundraising position, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 69.5%. LaLota faced no primary opposition on June 23, while Democrat Chris Gallant secured his party's nomination. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory despite national midterm dynamics that often favor the opposition party. Recent primary results and the absence of major polling shifts have kept probabilities stable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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