South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. South Dakota's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance across statewide races and an R+15 district rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Jackley's primary strength and name recognition further reinforce the position. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a major candidate-specific event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
$16,933 Объем
$16,933 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
5%
$16,933 Объем
$16,933 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,474 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$7,459 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. South Dakota's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance across statewide races and an R+15 district rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Jackley's primary strength and name recognition further reinforce the position. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a major candidate-specific event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$16,933Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. South Dakota's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance across statewide races and an R+15 district rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Jackley's primary strength and name recognition further reinforce the position. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a major candidate-specific event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$16,933Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. South Dakota's partisan lean, reflected in consistent Republican performance across statewide races and an R+15 district rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Jackley's primary strength and name recognition further reinforce the position. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or unforeseen late-cycle developments such as a major candidate-specific event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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