Washington's 9th congressional district has maintained a strong Democratic tilt, with recent presidential results showing consistent margins above 65 percent for Democratic candidates. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 primary alongside Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and Smith's decades of name recognition in the Puget Sound region. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around 94.5 percent probability for a Democratic hold. This positioning stems from the area's demographics, historical election data, and absence of competitive dynamics in the current cycle. A major scandal involving Smith, unexpected redistricting shifts, or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the November 2026 general election timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-09
$31,145 Объем
$31,145 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
5%
$31,145 Объем
$31,145 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,539 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$19,606 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district has maintained a strong Democratic tilt, with recent presidential results showing consistent margins above 65 percent for Democratic candidates. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 primary alongside Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and Smith's decades of name recognition in the Puget Sound region. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around 94.5 percent probability for a Democratic hold. This positioning stems from the area's demographics, historical election data, and absence of competitive dynamics in the current cycle. A major scandal involving Smith, unexpected redistricting shifts, or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the November 2026 general election timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$31,145Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district has maintained a strong Democratic tilt, with recent presidential results showing consistent margins above 65 percent for Democratic candidates. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 primary alongside Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and Smith's decades of name recognition in the Puget Sound region. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around 94.5 percent probability for a Democratic hold. This positioning stems from the area's demographics, historical election data, and absence of competitive dynamics in the current cycle. A major scandal involving Smith, unexpected redistricting shifts, or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the November 2026 general election timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,145Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district has maintained a strong Democratic tilt, with recent presidential results showing consistent margins above 65 percent for Democratic candidates. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 primary alongside Republican challenger Douglas Michael Basler, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and Smith's decades of name recognition in the Puget Sound region. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus around 94.5 percent probability for a Democratic hold. This positioning stems from the area's demographics, historical election data, and absence of competitive dynamics in the current cycle. A major scandal involving Smith, unexpected redistricting shifts, or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the November 2026 general election timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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