Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman seeks a third term in Ohio’s 1st District against Republican nominee Eric Conroy following May 2026 primaries. The seat, redrawn in late 2025 to incorporate more rural southwest Ohio counties, would have favored Donald Trump by roughly three points in 2024, shifting the partisan voting index closer to even and elevating Republican prospects from prior cycles. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up leaning Democratic as of early April, reflecting Landsman’s incumbency edge amid a national midterm environment where the president’s party historically loses ground. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee ahead incorporates these structural factors alongside polling trends and early fundraising patterns, while leaving room for late-cycle shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOH-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Демократическая партия
57%
Республиканская партия
34%
Демократическая партия
57%
Республиканская партия
34%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman seeks a third term in Ohio’s 1st District against Republican nominee Eric Conroy following May 2026 primaries. The seat, redrawn in late 2025 to incorporate more rural southwest Ohio counties, would have favored Donald Trump by roughly three points in 2024, shifting the partisan voting index closer to even and elevating Republican prospects from prior cycles. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up leaning Democratic as of early April, reflecting Landsman’s incumbency edge amid a national midterm environment where the president’s party historically loses ground. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee ahead incorporates these structural factors alongside polling trends and early fundraising patterns, while leaving room for late-cycle shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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