Republican incumbent David Taylor secured renomination with roughly 75% of the primary vote on May 5, 2026, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli narrowly advanced, setting up a general election on November 3. The district’s partisan composition—eastern Cincinnati suburbs extending toward Athens and Marietta—has produced consistent Republican margins above 20 points in recent cycles, including Taylor’s 2024 win of 73.5%. Redistricting preserved this structural advantage, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline factors plus incumbency and limited national momentum shifts to date. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such reversals remain uncommon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-02
$52,849 Объем
$52,849 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
7%
$52,849 Объем
$52,849 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$18,286 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$34,563 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent David Taylor secured renomination with roughly 75% of the primary vote on May 5, 2026, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli narrowly advanced, setting up a general election on November 3. The district’s partisan composition—eastern Cincinnati suburbs extending toward Athens and Marietta—has produced consistent Republican margins above 20 points in recent cycles, including Taylor’s 2024 win of 73.5%. Redistricting preserved this structural advantage, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline factors plus incumbency and limited national momentum shifts to date. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$52,849Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent David Taylor secured renomination with roughly 75% of the primary vote on May 5, 2026, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli narrowly advanced, setting up a general election on November 3. The district’s partisan composition—eastern Cincinnati suburbs extending toward Athens and Marietta—has produced consistent Republican margins above 20 points in recent cycles, including Taylor’s 2024 win of 73.5%. Redistricting preserved this structural advantage, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline factors plus incumbency and limited national momentum shifts to date. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$52,849Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent David Taylor secured renomination with roughly 75% of the primary vote on May 5, 2026, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli narrowly advanced, setting up a general election on November 3. The district’s partisan composition—eastern Cincinnati suburbs extending toward Athens and Marietta—has produced consistent Republican margins above 20 points in recent cycles, including Taylor’s 2024 win of 73.5%. Redistricting preserved this structural advantage, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline factors plus incumbency and limited national momentum shifts to date. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such reversals remain uncommon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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