Incumbent Republican David Taylor’s strong position in Ohio’s 2nd Congressional District stems from its deep Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+24, making it the most Republican seat in the state. Taylor secured the nomination easily in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli advanced on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a southern Ohio district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios at present.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-02
$52,849 Объем
$52,849 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
7%
$52,849 Объем
$52,849 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$18,286 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$34,563 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor’s strong position in Ohio’s 2nd Congressional District stems from its deep Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+24, making it the most Republican seat in the state. Taylor secured the nomination easily in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli advanced on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a southern Ohio district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$52,849Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor’s strong position in Ohio’s 2nd Congressional District stems from its deep Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+24, making it the most Republican seat in the state. Taylor secured the nomination easily in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli advanced on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a southern Ohio district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$52,849Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Taylor’s strong position in Ohio’s 2nd Congressional District stems from its deep Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+24, making it the most Republican seat in the state. Taylor secured the nomination easily in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Jen Mazzuckelli advanced on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a southern Ohio district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A major national political shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios at present.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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