Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Safe. The open-seat contest following Rep. Dan Newhouse’s retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single candidate, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. Early fundraising data shows McKinney leading the pack with over $450,000 cash on hand after the first quarter, underscoring Republican organizational and financial advantages in the reliably conservative central Washington district. The August 4 top-two primary will determine the general-election matchup, but the underlying partisan composition continues to drive trader consensus toward a Republican outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$31,220 Объем
$31,220 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$31,220 Объем
$31,220 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
$15,673 Объем
87%
Democratic Party
$15,547 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Safe. The open-seat contest following Rep. Dan Newhouse’s retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single candidate, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. Early fundraising data shows McKinney leading the pack with over $450,000 cash on hand after the first quarter, underscoring Republican organizational and financial advantages in the reliably conservative central Washington district. The August 4 top-two primary will determine the general-election matchup, but the underlying partisan composition continues to drive trader consensus toward a Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$31,220Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Safe. The open-seat contest following Rep. Dan Newhouse’s retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single candidate, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. Early fundraising data shows McKinney leading the pack with over $450,000 cash on hand after the first quarter, underscoring Republican organizational and financial advantages in the reliably conservative central Washington district. The August 4 top-two primary will determine the general-election matchup, but the underlying partisan composition continues to drive trader consensus toward a Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,220Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Safe. The open-seat contest following Rep. Dan Newhouse’s retirement has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single candidate, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. Early fundraising data shows McKinney leading the pack with over $450,000 cash on hand after the first quarter, underscoring Republican organizational and financial advantages in the reliably conservative central Washington district. The August 4 top-two primary will determine the general-election matchup, but the underlying partisan composition continues to drive trader consensus toward a Republican outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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