Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3 percent, is seeking reelection in Michigan's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+1, and race ratings from major forecasters classify it as Lean Democratic. Recent candidate filings show a developing Republican primary field, including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo, but no dominant challenger has emerged to shift positioning. Traders' consensus, reflected in the elevated Democratic share, incorporates the structural benefits of incumbency, early fundraising by the sitting member, and the absence of major district-specific developments that would alter the balance before the primary stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-08
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
70%
Республиканская партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$624 Объем
70%
Республиканская партия
$181 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3 percent, is seeking reelection in Michigan's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+1, and race ratings from major forecasters classify it as Lean Democratic. Recent candidate filings show a developing Republican primary field, including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo, but no dominant challenger has emerged to shift positioning. Traders' consensus, reflected in the elevated Democratic share, incorporates the structural benefits of incumbency, early fundraising by the sitting member, and the absence of major district-specific developments that would alter the balance before the primary stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
Объем
$804Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3 percent, is seeking reelection in Michigan's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+1, and race ratings from major forecasters classify it as Lean Democratic. Recent candidate filings show a developing Republican primary field, including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo, but no dominant challenger has emerged to shift positioning. Traders' consensus, reflected in the elevated Democratic share, incorporates the structural benefits of incumbency, early fundraising by the sitting member, and the absence of major district-specific developments that would alter the balance before the primary stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$804Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3 percent, is seeking reelection in Michigan's 8th congressional district ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+1, and race ratings from major forecasters classify it as Lean Democratic. Recent candidate filings show a developing Republican primary field, including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo, but no dominant challenger has emerged to shift positioning. Traders' consensus, reflected in the elevated Democratic share, incorporates the structural benefits of incumbency, early fundraising by the sitting member, and the absence of major district-specific developments that would alter the balance before the primary stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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