The Democratic incumbent's position in Michigan's 8th district, rated lean Democratic by forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November general election. Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the open seat by 6.7 points in 2024, faces an August primary with strong fundraising and union support, while Republicans contend with a fragmented field including Amir Hassan. The district's mixed partisan leanings and lack of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable, with upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes as the next potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-08
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
9%
Демократическая партия
62%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$181 Объем
9%
Демократическая партия
$624 Объем
62%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent's position in Michigan's 8th district, rated lean Democratic by forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November general election. Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the open seat by 6.7 points in 2024, faces an August primary with strong fundraising and union support, while Republicans contend with a fragmented field including Amir Hassan. The district's mixed partisan leanings and lack of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable, with upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes as the next potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
Объем
$804Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent's position in Michigan's 8th district, rated lean Democratic by forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November general election. Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the open seat by 6.7 points in 2024, faces an August primary with strong fundraising and union support, while Republicans contend with a fragmented field including Amir Hassan. The district's mixed partisan leanings and lack of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable, with upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes as the next potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$804Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic incumbent's position in Michigan's 8th district, rated lean Democratic by forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November general election. Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the open seat by 6.7 points in 2024, faces an August primary with strong fundraising and union support, while Republicans contend with a fragmented field including Amir Hassan. The district's mixed partisan leanings and lack of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments have kept probabilities stable, with upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes as the next potential catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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