Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3% of the vote, anchors Democratic advantages in Michigan's 8th district. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1 and its mix of urban and suburban areas around Flint, Saginaw, and the Tri-Cities create a competitive baseline, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. Republican primary candidates including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo remain early in their campaigns ahead of the August 4 contest, with no major shifts in candidate recruitment, fundraising, or polling reported since the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 87% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle disruptions that could alter the path to the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-08
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
10%
Демократическая партия
70%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$181 Объем
10%
Демократическая партия
$624 Объем
70%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3% of the vote, anchors Democratic advantages in Michigan's 8th district. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1 and its mix of urban and suburban areas around Flint, Saginaw, and the Tri-Cities create a competitive baseline, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. Republican primary candidates including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo remain early in their campaigns ahead of the August 4 contest, with no major shifts in candidate recruitment, fundraising, or polling reported since the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 87% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle disruptions that could alter the path to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
Объем
$804Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3% of the vote, anchors Democratic advantages in Michigan's 8th district. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1 and its mix of urban and suburban areas around Flint, Saginaw, and the Tri-Cities create a competitive baseline, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. Republican primary candidates including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo remain early in their campaigns ahead of the August 4 contest, with no major shifts in candidate recruitment, fundraising, or polling reported since the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 87% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle disruptions that could alter the path to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$804Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won the seat in 2024 with 51.3% of the vote, anchors Democratic advantages in Michigan's 8th district. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1 and its mix of urban and suburban areas around Flint, Saginaw, and the Tri-Cities create a competitive baseline, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. Republican primary candidates including Amir Hassan and Al Lemmo remain early in their campaigns ahead of the August 4 contest, with no major shifts in candidate recruitment, fundraising, or polling reported since the prior cycle. Trader consensus at 87% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle disruptions that could alter the path to the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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