Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with roughly 67 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition and a Democratic field led by lesser-known challenger Ray Pooley. The district's voter base in The Thumb and northern Detroit suburbs has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race's trajectory. A national Democratic surge, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before the August primaries or general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-09
$11,898 Объем
$11,898 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$11,898 Объем
$11,898 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,928 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$2,970 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with roughly 67 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition and a Democratic field led by lesser-known challenger Ray Pooley. The district's voter base in The Thumb and northern Detroit suburbs has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race's trajectory. A national Democratic surge, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before the August primaries or general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$11,898Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with roughly 67 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition and a Democratic field led by lesser-known challenger Ray Pooley. The district's voter base in The Thumb and northern Detroit suburbs has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race's trajectory. A national Democratic surge, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before the August primaries or general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,898Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain, first elected in 2020 and re-elected with roughly 67 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition and a Democratic field led by lesser-known challenger Ray Pooley. The district's voter base in The Thumb and northern Detroit suburbs has consistently favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race's trajectory. A national Democratic surge, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin before the August primaries or general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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