Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As incumbent and House Republican Conference chair, McClain benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, and an uncontested primary, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley has raised minimal funds and faces the district’s history of Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 remains the formal resolution trigger. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-09
$37,561 Объем
$37,561 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Лиза Макклейн (Р)
96%
Рэй Пули (Д)
6%
$37,561 Объем
$37,561 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Лиза Макклейн (Р)
$27,141 Объем
96%
Рэй Пули (Д)
$10,420 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As incumbent and House Republican Conference chair, McClain benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, and an uncontested primary, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley has raised minimal funds and faces the district’s history of Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 remains the formal resolution trigger. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$37,561Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As incumbent and House Republican Conference chair, McClain benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, and an uncontested primary, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley has raised minimal funds and faces the district’s history of Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 remains the formal resolution trigger. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,561Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As incumbent and House Republican Conference chair, McClain benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $5 million, and an uncontested primary, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley has raised minimal funds and faces the district’s history of Republican margins above 25 points in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 remains the formal resolution trigger. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, major scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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