The BC Conservative leadership contest remains tightly contested among a broad field of contenders, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probability amid ongoing party fragmentation. Recent caucus defections, expulsions, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay’s September resignation after months of internal divisions have left the opposition without a settled direction, prompting traders to price in uncertainty over endorsements, membership sign-ups, and potential new entrants. Factors such as regional support bases, prior elected experience, and positioning on fiscal and social issues continue to split preferences, while scheduled unity discussions with breakaway groups and the prospect of an early provincial election could consolidate or further disperse backing before any vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКэролайн Эллиотт 32%
Стоквелл Дэй 29%
Аарон Ганн 20%
Клер Ратти 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
Кэролайн Эллиотт
32%
Стоквелл Дэй
17%
Аарон Ганн
22%
Клер Ратти
16%
Иэн Блэк
13%
Юрий Фулмер
13%
Шелдон Клэр
13%
Чип Уилсон
3%
Кэролайн Эллиотт 32%
Стоквелл Дэй 29%
Аарон Ганн 20%
Клер Ратти 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
Кэролайн Эллиотт
$59 Объем
32%
Стоквелл Дэй
$55 Объем
17%
Аарон Ганн
$45 Объем
22%
Клер Ратти
$42 Объем
16%
Иэн Блэк
$0 Объем
13%
Юрий Фулмер
$16 Объем
13%
Шелдон Клэр
$0 Объем
13%
Чип Уилсон
$178 Объем
3%
A leadership election for the Conservative Party of British Columbia is expected following the resignation of Kerry-Lynne Findlay as party leader on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.The BC Conservative leadership contest remains tightly contested among a broad field of contenders, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probability amid ongoing party fragmentation. Recent caucus defections, expulsions, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay’s September resignation after months of internal divisions have left the opposition without a settled direction, prompting traders to price in uncertainty over endorsements, membership sign-ups, and potential new entrants. Factors such as regional support bases, prior elected experience, and positioning on fiscal and social issues continue to split preferences, while scheduled unity discussions with breakaway groups and the prospect of an early provincial election could consolidate or further disperse backing before any vote.
A leadership election for the Conservative Party of British Columbia is expected following the resignation of Kerry-Lynne Findlay as party leader on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$395Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 4:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A leadership election for the Conservative Party of British Columbia is expected following the resignation of Kerry-Lynne Findlay as party leader on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.The BC Conservative leadership contest remains tightly contested among a broad field of contenders, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probability amid ongoing party fragmentation. Recent caucus defections, expulsions, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay’s September resignation after months of internal divisions have left the opposition without a settled direction, prompting traders to price in uncertainty over endorsements, membership sign-ups, and potential new entrants. Factors such as regional support bases, prior elected experience, and positioning on fiscal and social issues continue to split preferences, while scheduled unity discussions with breakaway groups and the prospect of an early provincial election could consolidate or further disperse backing before any vote.
A leadership election for the Conservative Party of British Columbia is expected following the resignation of Kerry-Lynne Findlay as party leader on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Объем
$395Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 4:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The BC Conservative leadership contest remains tightly contested among a broad field of contenders, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probability amid ongoing party fragmentation. Recent caucus defections, expulsions, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay’s September resignation after months of internal divisions have left the opposition without a settled direction, prompting traders to price in uncertainty over endorsements, membership sign-ups, and potential new entrants. Factors such as regional support bases, prior elected experience, and positioning on fiscal and social issues continue to split preferences, while scheduled unity discussions with breakaway groups and the prospect of an early provincial election could consolidate or further disperse backing before any vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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