Florida's political environment and recent polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features a clear frontrunner in U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, who leads multiple July surveys by wide margins over rivals. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Democratic prospects remain limited in head-to-head matchups, with no evident surge in support or standout candidate shifting the balance. Scheduled primary outcomes and ongoing campaign dynamics represent the main near-term variables that could influence final positioning before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
Победитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$32,673 Объем
$32,673 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
84%
Демократ
16%
$32,673 Объем
$32,673 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$14,252 Объем
84%
Демократ
$18,421 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's political environment and recent polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features a clear frontrunner in U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, who leads multiple July surveys by wide margins over rivals. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Democratic prospects remain limited in head-to-head matchups, with no evident surge in support or standout candidate shifting the balance. Scheduled primary outcomes and ongoing campaign dynamics represent the main near-term variables that could influence final positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$32,673Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's political environment and recent polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features a clear frontrunner in U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, who leads multiple July surveys by wide margins over rivals. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Democratic prospects remain limited in head-to-head matchups, with no evident surge in support or standout candidate shifting the balance. Scheduled primary outcomes and ongoing campaign dynamics represent the main near-term variables that could influence final positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$32,673Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's political environment and recent polling trends underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory in 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary features a clear frontrunner in U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, who leads multiple July surveys by wide margins over rivals. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Democratic prospects remain limited in head-to-head matchups, with no evident surge in support or standout candidate shifting the balance. Scheduled primary outcomes and ongoing campaign dynamics represent the main near-term variables that could influence final positioning before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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