Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open seat following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent GOP advantage in voter registration, recent statewide results, and generic ballot trends. Republican primary frontrunner Byron Donalds holds double-digit leads in polls over other contenders like Jay Collins and James Fishback, with general-election matchups showing him ahead of likely Democratic nominees David Jolly or Jerry Demings by 5–9 points. Recent May polling and the June 12 filing deadline have reinforced this positioning without notable shifts, as economic and turnout factors continue to favor the Republican side in trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$22,442 Объем
$22,442 Объем

Республиканец
78%

Демократ
23%
$22,442 Объем
$22,442 Объем

Республиканец
78%

Демократ
23%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open seat following term limits on incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, with primaries set for August 18 and the general election on November 3. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent GOP advantage in voter registration, recent statewide results, and generic ballot trends. Republican primary frontrunner Byron Donalds holds double-digit leads in polls over other contenders like Jay Collins and James Fishback, with general-election matchups showing him ahead of likely Democratic nominees David Jolly or Jerry Demings by 5–9 points. Recent May polling and the June 12 filing deadline have reinforced this positioning without notable shifts, as economic and turnout factors continue to favor the Republican side in trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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