Recent polling shows Democrats leading the generic ballot by 7–8 points amid voter concerns over inflation, energy costs, and the unresolved conflict with Iran, which has weighed on President Trump’s approval rating near 40 percent. These national conditions have tightened multiple Republican-held Senate races on the 2026 map, including open seats in North Carolina and competitive contests in Maine, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Forecasting models now project Democrats with a modest edge for a net gain of four seats needed to reach majority control, though Republicans retain structural advantages in candidate recruitment and spending in several states. Prediction-market pricing reflects this competitive but opposition-favorable environment, with traders assigning lower odds to Republican gains sufficient for a chamber flip before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРеспубликанцы подбрасывают демократов в Сенат к 2 ноября?
Республиканцы подбрасывают демократов в Сенат к 2 ноября?
Да
25% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
25% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.Recent polling shows Democrats leading the generic ballot by 7–8 points amid voter concerns over inflation, energy costs, and the unresolved conflict with Iran, which has weighed on President Trump’s approval rating near 40 percent. These national conditions have tightened multiple Republican-held Senate races on the 2026 map, including open seats in North Carolina and competitive contests in Maine, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Forecasting models now project Democrats with a modest edge for a net gain of four seats needed to reach majority control, though Republicans retain structural advantages in candidate recruitment and spending in several states. Prediction-market pricing reflects this competitive but opposition-favorable environment, with traders assigning lower odds to Republican gains sufficient for a chamber flip before November 3.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Объем
$160Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 9:34 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.Recent polling shows Democrats leading the generic ballot by 7–8 points amid voter concerns over inflation, energy costs, and the unresolved conflict with Iran, which has weighed on President Trump’s approval rating near 40 percent. These national conditions have tightened multiple Republican-held Senate races on the 2026 map, including open seats in North Carolina and competitive contests in Maine, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Forecasting models now project Democrats with a modest edge for a net gain of four seats needed to reach majority control, though Republicans retain structural advantages in candidate recruitment and spending in several states. Prediction-market pricing reflects this competitive but opposition-favorable environment, with traders assigning lower odds to Republican gains sufficient for a chamber flip before November 3.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
Объем
$160Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 9:34 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows Democrats leading the generic ballot by 7–8 points amid voter concerns over inflation, energy costs, and the unresolved conflict with Iran, which has weighed on President Trump’s approval rating near 40 percent. These national conditions have tightened multiple Republican-held Senate races on the 2026 map, including open seats in North Carolina and competitive contests in Maine, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Forecasting models now project Democrats with a modest edge for a net gain of four seats needed to reach majority control, though Republicans retain structural advantages in candidate recruitment and spending in several states. Prediction-market pricing reflects this competitive but opposition-favorable environment, with traders assigning lower odds to Republican gains sufficient for a chamber flip before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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