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icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса

$38,871 Объем

Polymarket

$38,871 Объем

icon for Республиканец

Республиканец

$25,354 Объем

82%

icon for Демократ

Демократ

$13,517 Объем

19%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its consistent voting patterns and Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with incumbent Senator Roger Marshall's primary victory on August 4, 2026, anchors the elevated probability for a GOP hold. Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton, who also secured his party's nomination recently, in a race rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Limited polling shows Marshall ahead by margins of 4 to 8 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with historical results in this state. The absence of major endorsements, fundraising surprises, or shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries has reinforced trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$38,871
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its consistent voting patterns and Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with incumbent Senator Roger Marshall's primary victory on August 4, 2026, anchors the elevated probability for a GOP hold. Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton, who also secured his party's nomination recently, in a race rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Limited polling shows Marshall ahead by margins of 4 to 8 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with historical results in this state. The absence of major endorsements, fundraising surprises, or shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries has reinforced trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$38,871
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Победят ли демократы на выборах в Сенат Орегона в 2026 году?

Победят ли демократы на выборах в Сенат Орегона в 2026 году?

97%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Канзаса в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Канзаса в 2026 году?

74%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Небраски в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Небраски в 2026 году?

85%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканец» с 82%, за ним следует «Демократ» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 82¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $38.9K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» — «Республиканец» с 82%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократ» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.