Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race as the Republican incumbent in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the chamber since 1932 and where Donald Trump carried the vote by double digits in 2024. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregation, secured his party’s nomination in an August primary and has narrowed the contest through strong fundraising and appeal to independents, as shown in recent Emerson College polling that placed him statistically tied or slightly ahead. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, and prediction market pricing aligns with Kansas’s partisan baseline and Marshall’s established position despite elevated unfavorable ratings and a handful of tightening surveys. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
$176,500 Объем
$176,500 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
69%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
32%
$176,500 Объем
$176,500 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
$68,215 Объем
69%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
$108,285 Объем
32%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race as the Republican incumbent in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the chamber since 1932 and where Donald Trump carried the vote by double digits in 2024. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregation, secured his party’s nomination in an August primary and has narrowed the contest through strong fundraising and appeal to independents, as shown in recent Emerson College polling that placed him statistically tied or slightly ahead. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, and prediction market pricing aligns with Kansas’s partisan baseline and Marshall’s established position despite elevated unfavorable ratings and a handful of tightening surveys. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$176,500Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race as the Republican incumbent in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the chamber since 1932 and where Donald Trump carried the vote by double digits in 2024. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregation, secured his party’s nomination in an August primary and has narrowed the contest through strong fundraising and appeal to independents, as shown in recent Emerson College polling that placed him statistically tied or slightly ahead. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, and prediction market pricing aligns with Kansas’s partisan baseline and Marshall’s established position despite elevated unfavorable ratings and a handful of tightening surveys. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$176,500Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race as the Republican incumbent in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the chamber since 1932 and where Donald Trump carried the vote by double digits in 2024. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregation, secured his party’s nomination in an August primary and has narrowed the contest through strong fundraising and appeal to independents, as shown in recent Emerson College polling that placed him statistically tied or slightly ahead. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Lean Republican, and prediction market pricing aligns with Kansas’s partisan baseline and Marshall’s established position despite elevated unfavorable ratings and a handful of tightening surveys. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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