Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages and broad GOP organizational support, though some recent surveys show elevated unfavorable ratings. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, won a crowded primary and has demonstrated fundraising strength plus appeal in suburban Johnson County, narrowing the contest in select polls including one Emerson survey from mid-September. Forecasting outlets rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, while trader pricing incorporates the structural headwinds for Democrats alongside any late-cycle tightening. A Libertarian candidate also appears on the November ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
$176,738 Объем
$176,738 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
69%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
30%
$176,738 Объем
$176,738 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Роджер Маршалл (Р)
$68,356 Объем
69%
Адам Хэмилтон (Д)
$108,382 Объем
30%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages and broad GOP organizational support, though some recent surveys show elevated unfavorable ratings. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, won a crowded primary and has demonstrated fundraising strength plus appeal in suburban Johnson County, narrowing the contest in select polls including one Emerson survey from mid-September. Forecasting outlets rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, while trader pricing incorporates the structural headwinds for Democrats alongside any late-cycle tightening. A Libertarian candidate also appears on the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$176,738Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages and broad GOP organizational support, though some recent surveys show elevated unfavorable ratings. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, won a crowded primary and has demonstrated fundraising strength plus appeal in suburban Johnson County, narrowing the contest in select polls including one Emerson survey from mid-September. Forecasting outlets rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, while trader pricing incorporates the structural headwinds for Democrats alongside any late-cycle tightening. A Libertarian candidate also appears on the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$176,738Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932 and Donald Trump carried the state by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages and broad GOP organizational support, though some recent surveys show elevated unfavorable ratings. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, won a crowded primary and has demonstrated fundraising strength plus appeal in suburban Johnson County, narrowing the contest in select polls including one Emerson survey from mid-September. Forecasting outlets rate the race Likely Republican or Lean Republican, while trader pricing incorporates the structural headwinds for Democrats alongside any late-cycle tightening. A Libertarian candidate also appears on the November ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы