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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса

Polymarket

$21,781 Объем

Polymarket

$21,781 Объем

icon for Республиканец

Республиканец

$11,303 Объем

66%

icon for Демократ

Демократ

$10,477 Объем

35%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican nominee Ty Masterson holds a 65.5% implied probability over Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher at 35.0% in the Kansas governor race.** Kansas voters head to the polls on November 3, 2026, to replace term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Masterson, the Republican Senate president from Andover, secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with backing from President Trump and defeated a crowded field that included Secretary of State Scott Schwab and Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt. Holscher, a state senator from suburban Johnson County, won the Democratic primary over Kelly-endorsed rival Ethan Corson. The state’s underlying Republican tilt—evident in double-digit Trump margins in 2024—combined with expert race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections (all classifying the contest as Lean or Tilt Republican) supports the market’s positioning of the GOP nominee as the favorite. The Republican Governors Association has committed millions in advertising support for Masterson, targeting unaffiliated voters on property taxes, economic growth, and data-center policy. Holscher’s path relies on replicating Kelly’s ticket-splitting success in a state where Democrats have held the governorship for most of the past several decades despite Republican legislative control. A late-August Global Strategic Group poll of likely voters showed Holscher ahead by one point (47-46), within the survey’s four-point margin of error, underscoring the competitive nature of the race. Both candidates are actively courting unaffiliated voters through forums on taxes and workforce issues, with the November outcome likely hinging on turnout among those independents in a state that has not seen a third-party gubernatorial candidate qualify for the ballot.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$21,781
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican nominee Ty Masterson holds a 65.5% implied probability over Democratic nominee Cindy Holscher at 35.0% in the Kansas governor race.** Kansas voters head to the polls on November 3, 2026, to replace term-limited Democratic incumbent Laura Kelly. Masterson, the Republican Senate president from Andover, secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with backing from President Trump and defeated a crowded field that included Secretary of State Scott Schwab and Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt. Holscher, a state senator from suburban Johnson County, won the Democratic primary over Kelly-endorsed rival Ethan Corson. The state’s underlying Republican tilt—evident in double-digit Trump margins in 2024—combined with expert race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections (all classifying the contest as Lean or Tilt Republican) supports the market’s positioning of the GOP nominee as the favorite. The Republican Governors Association has committed millions in advertising support for Masterson, targeting unaffiliated voters on property taxes, economic growth, and data-center policy. Holscher’s path relies on replicating Kelly’s ticket-splitting success in a state where Democrats have held the governorship for most of the past several decades despite Republican legislative control. A late-August Global Strategic Group poll of likely voters showed Holscher ahead by one point (47-46), within the survey’s four-point margin of error, underscoring the competitive nature of the race. Both candidates are actively courting unaffiliated voters through forums on taxes and workforce issues, with the November outcome likely hinging on turnout among those independents in a state that has not seen a third-party gubernatorial candidate qualify for the ballot.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$21,781
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Оклахомы в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Оклахомы в 2026 году?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли демократы выборы губернатора Колорадо в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли демократы выборы губернатора Колорадо в 2026 году?

98%
Да
icon for Победят ли демократы на выборах губернатора Айовы в 2026 году?

Победят ли демократы на выборах губернатора Айовы в 2026 году?

75%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканец» с 66%, за ним следует «Демократ» с 35%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 66¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.8K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса» — «Республиканец» с 66%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократ» с 35%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Канзаса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.