Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and viewed as Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Democrat Frederick Wellman narrowly won his primary and will face Wagner and a Libertarian nominee in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican tilt, Wagner's established incumbency since 2013, and limited Democratic recruitment have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though the two-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national conditions or turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
51%
Демократическая партия
33%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$4,988 Объем
51%
Демократическая партия
$4,262 Объем
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and viewed as Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Democrat Frederick Wellman narrowly won his primary and will face Wagner and a Libertarian nominee in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican tilt, Wagner's established incumbency since 2013, and limited Democratic recruitment have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though the two-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$9,251Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and viewed as Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Democrat Frederick Wellman narrowly won his primary and will face Wagner and a Libertarian nominee in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican tilt, Wagner's established incumbency since 2013, and limited Democratic recruitment have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though the two-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,251Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis area rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and viewed as Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Democrat Frederick Wellman narrowly won his primary and will face Wagner and a Libertarian nominee in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican tilt, Wagner's established incumbency since 2013, and limited Democratic recruitment have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though the two-month window before Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by national conditions or turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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