Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 40 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who defeated Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary, faces her again in the August 4, 2026 primary alongside lesser-known challengers, while Republican primary contenders remain limited. The district’s structural advantages, including high Democratic turnout and minimal crossover voting, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in November. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset followed by scandal or health developments affecting the general-election candidate, though redistricting efforts have so far preserved the seat’s Democratic character.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,810 Объем
$23,810 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
4%
$23,810 Объем
$23,810 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,661 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$10,149 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 40 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who defeated Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary, faces her again in the August 4, 2026 primary alongside lesser-known challengers, while Republican primary contenders remain limited. The district’s structural advantages, including high Democratic turnout and minimal crossover voting, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in November. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset followed by scandal or health developments affecting the general-election candidate, though redistricting efforts have so far preserved the seat’s Democratic character.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$23,810Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 40 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who defeated Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary, faces her again in the August 4, 2026 primary alongside lesser-known challengers, while Republican primary contenders remain limited. The district’s structural advantages, including high Democratic turnout and minimal crossover voting, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in November. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset followed by scandal or health developments affecting the general-election candidate, though redistricting efforts have so far preserved the seat’s Democratic character.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,810Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in St. Louis, maintains a strongly Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 40 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Wesley Bell, who defeated Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary, faces her again in the August 4, 2026 primary alongside lesser-known challengers, while Republican primary contenders remain limited. The district’s structural advantages, including high Democratic turnout and minimal crossover voting, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in November. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset followed by scandal or health developments affecting the general-election candidate, though redistricting efforts have so far preserved the seat’s Democratic character.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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