The 1st Congressional District of Missouri, encompassing St. Louis and parts of northern St. Louis County, has long demonstrated a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Wesley Bell holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary against challenger Cori Bush and the November 3 general election, where Republican candidates trail significantly. Fundraising totals and early polling reinforce the incumbent’s edge, while the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins support trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Redistricting disputes and a potential referendum could alter boundaries, but current lines preserve the seat’s safety. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift in the general election remains the primary path for any Republican breakthrough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,810 Объем
$23,810 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
4%
$23,810 Объем
$23,810 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,661 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$10,149 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 1st Congressional District of Missouri, encompassing St. Louis and parts of northern St. Louis County, has long demonstrated a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Wesley Bell holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary against challenger Cori Bush and the November 3 general election, where Republican candidates trail significantly. Fundraising totals and early polling reinforce the incumbent’s edge, while the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins support trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Redistricting disputes and a potential referendum could alter boundaries, but current lines preserve the seat’s safety. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift in the general election remains the primary path for any Republican breakthrough.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$23,810Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 1st Congressional District of Missouri, encompassing St. Louis and parts of northern St. Louis County, has long demonstrated a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Wesley Bell holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary against challenger Cori Bush and the November 3 general election, where Republican candidates trail significantly. Fundraising totals and early polling reinforce the incumbent’s edge, while the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins support trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Redistricting disputes and a potential referendum could alter boundaries, but current lines preserve the seat’s safety. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift in the general election remains the primary path for any Republican breakthrough.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,810Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 1st Congressional District of Missouri, encompassing St. Louis and parts of northern St. Louis County, has long demonstrated a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Wesley Bell holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4, 2026, Democratic primary against challenger Cori Bush and the November 3 general election, where Republican candidates trail significantly. Fundraising totals and early polling reinforce the incumbent’s edge, while the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins support trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Redistricting disputes and a potential referendum could alter boundaries, but current lines preserve the seat’s safety. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift in the general election remains the primary path for any Republican breakthrough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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