Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, carries a D+29 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 59 percent of the vote, defeating former representative Cori Bush and lesser-known challengers amid substantial outside spending. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns dominate. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 97 percent trader consensus reflects this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or dramatic national wave could still shift the narrow remaining probability before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$36,818 Объем
$36,818 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
98%
Республиканская партия
2%
$36,818 Объем
$36,818 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$22,847 Объем
98%
Республиканская партия
$13,971 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, carries a D+29 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 59 percent of the vote, defeating former representative Cori Bush and lesser-known challengers amid substantial outside spending. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns dominate. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 97 percent trader consensus reflects this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or dramatic national wave could still shift the narrow remaining probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$36,818Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, carries a D+29 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 59 percent of the vote, defeating former representative Cori Bush and lesser-known challengers amid substantial outside spending. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns dominate. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 97 percent trader consensus reflects this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or dramatic national wave could still shift the narrow remaining probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,818Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, carries a D+29 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 59 percent of the vote, defeating former representative Cori Bush and lesser-known challengers amid substantial outside spending. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and historical turnout patterns dominate. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 97 percent trader consensus reflects this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or dramatic national wave could still shift the narrow remaining probability before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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