The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in the TX-37 House race due to the district's established partisan composition in the Austin metro area, where consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns have favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Historical election results and the absence of significant Republican challengers or notable campaign developments through mid-2026 reinforce trader consensus around this outcome. Factors such as district boundaries set in prior redistricting and limited opposition activity further support the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected national political wave, late candidate withdrawal creating an open seat, or major local scandals affecting the frontrunner, though these remain low-probability events based on available indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-37 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-37 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$33,693 Объем
$33,693 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
2%
$33,693 Объем
$33,693 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$17,159 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$16,534 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in the TX-37 House race due to the district's established partisan composition in the Austin metro area, where consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns have favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Historical election results and the absence of significant Republican challengers or notable campaign developments through mid-2026 reinforce trader consensus around this outcome. Factors such as district boundaries set in prior redistricting and limited opposition activity further support the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected national political wave, late candidate withdrawal creating an open seat, or major local scandals affecting the frontrunner, though these remain low-probability events based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$33,693Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in the TX-37 House race due to the district's established partisan composition in the Austin metro area, where consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns have favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Historical election results and the absence of significant Republican challengers or notable campaign developments through mid-2026 reinforce trader consensus around this outcome. Factors such as district boundaries set in prior redistricting and limited opposition activity further support the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected national political wave, late candidate withdrawal creating an open seat, or major local scandals affecting the frontrunner, though these remain low-probability events based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,693Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in the TX-37 House race due to the district's established partisan composition in the Austin metro area, where consistent voter registration advantages and turnout patterns have favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Historical election results and the absence of significant Republican challengers or notable campaign developments through mid-2026 reinforce trader consensus around this outcome. Factors such as district boundaries set in prior redistricting and limited opposition activity further support the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected national political wave, late candidate withdrawal creating an open seat, or major local scandals affecting the frontrunner, though these remain low-probability events based on available indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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