Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60% of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump and his long tenure representing the area since its creation. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests, and ratings from forecasters as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Democratic nominee Justin Early, who won his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that favored Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district's exurban and military-influenced electorate make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-31 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-31 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,379 Объем
$45,379 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
8%
$45,379 Объем
$45,379 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$24,918 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$20,461 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60% of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump and his long tenure representing the area since its creation. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests, and ratings from forecasters as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Democratic nominee Justin Early, who won his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that favored Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district's exurban and military-influenced electorate make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$45,379Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60% of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump and his long tenure representing the area since its creation. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests, and ratings from forecasters as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Democratic nominee Justin Early, who won his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that favored Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district's exurban and military-influenced electorate make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,379Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60% of the vote in Texas's 31st congressional district, bolstered by an endorsement from President Trump and his long tenure representing the area since its creation. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests, and ratings from forecasters as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 92.5%. Democratic nominee Justin Early, who won his March primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat that favored Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district's exurban and military-influenced electorate make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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