Texas redistricting has shifted the 32nd congressional district from a prior Democratic hold to a solidly Republican-leaning seat, driving the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76.5% implied probability against 23% for the Democratic candidate. The open seat, previously held by Julie Johnson who relocated to another district amid the map changes, features Republican primary winner Jace Yarbrough facing Democrat Dan Barrios in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the new boundaries stretching into conservative areas. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, with the partisan tilt and absence of an incumbent Democrat anchoring expectations ahead of the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-32 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-32 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,258 Объем
$26,258 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
71%
Демократическая партия
24%
$26,258 Объем
$26,258 Объем
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$25,875 Объем
71%
Демократическая партия
$383 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas redistricting has shifted the 32nd congressional district from a prior Democratic hold to a solidly Republican-leaning seat, driving the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76.5% implied probability against 23% for the Democratic candidate. The open seat, previously held by Julie Johnson who relocated to another district amid the map changes, features Republican primary winner Jace Yarbrough facing Democrat Dan Barrios in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the new boundaries stretching into conservative areas. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, with the partisan tilt and absence of an incumbent Democrat anchoring expectations ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Объем
$26,258Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas redistricting has shifted the 32nd congressional district from a prior Democratic hold to a solidly Republican-leaning seat, driving the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76.5% implied probability against 23% for the Democratic candidate. The open seat, previously held by Julie Johnson who relocated to another district amid the map changes, features Republican primary winner Jace Yarbrough facing Democrat Dan Barrios in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the new boundaries stretching into conservative areas. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, with the partisan tilt and absence of an incumbent Democrat anchoring expectations ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,258Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas redistricting has shifted the 32nd congressional district from a prior Democratic hold to a solidly Republican-leaning seat, driving the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 76.5% implied probability against 23% for the Democratic candidate. The open seat, previously held by Julie Johnson who relocated to another district amid the map changes, features Republican primary winner Jace Yarbrough facing Democrat Dan Barrios in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the new boundaries stretching into conservative areas. No major developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, with the partisan tilt and absence of an incumbent Democrat anchoring expectations ahead of the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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