Ohio's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Joyce Beatty secured the Democratic nomination after the May 2026 primary and faces limited opposition in a seat rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Redistricting completed in late 2025 preserved the district's urban core advantages around Columbus, limiting Republican paths forward. Trader pricing at 94.5% Democratic reflects this structural edge and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Republican nominee. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited realistic upside for the underdog.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей OH-03
$47,339 Объем
$47,339 Объем
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$47,339 Объем
$47,339 Объем
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Joyce Beatty secured the Democratic nomination after the May 2026 primary and faces limited opposition in a seat rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. Redistricting completed in late 2025 preserved the district's urban core advantages around Columbus, limiting Republican paths forward. Trader pricing at 94.5% Democratic reflects this structural edge and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the Republican nominee. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited realistic upside for the underdog.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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