Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tamie Wilson in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat, rated R+21 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Jordan with 68.5 percent in 2024, features rural and exurban areas north and west of Columbus. Jordan ran unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary, while Kolasinski secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the incumbent’s long tenure and fundraising edge, underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or sharp national swing could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such shifts unlikely before the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOH-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OH-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$3,560 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$5,603 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tamie Wilson in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat, rated R+21 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Jordan with 68.5 percent in 2024, features rural and exurban areas north and west of Columbus. Jordan ran unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary, while Kolasinski secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the incumbent’s long tenure and fundraising edge, underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or sharp national swing could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such shifts unlikely before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$9,163Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tamie Wilson in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat, rated R+21 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Jordan with 68.5 percent in 2024, features rural and exurban areas north and west of Columbus. Jordan ran unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary, while Kolasinski secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the incumbent’s long tenure and fundraising edge, underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or sharp national swing could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such shifts unlikely before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,163Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tamie Wilson in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican seat, rated R+21 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Jordan with 68.5 percent in 2024, features rural and exurban areas north and west of Columbus. Jordan ran unopposed in the May 5 Republican primary, while Kolasinski secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the incumbent’s long tenure and fundraising edge, underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or sharp national swing could narrow margins, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such shifts unlikely before the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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