Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election, with Republican primary candidate Nicholas Glenn drawing minimal attention in a district encompassing downtown and western Phoenix areas with high Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. This positioning aligns with the district's history of large Democratic margins. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, late major scandal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the structural partisan advantage, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,714 Объем
$14,714 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$14,714 Объем
$14,714 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,121 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$5,594 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election, with Republican primary candidate Nicholas Glenn drawing minimal attention in a district encompassing downtown and western Phoenix areas with high Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. This positioning aligns with the district's history of large Democratic margins. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, late major scandal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the structural partisan advantage, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$14,714Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election, with Republican primary candidate Nicholas Glenn drawing minimal attention in a district encompassing downtown and western Phoenix areas with high Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. This positioning aligns with the district's history of large Democratic margins. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, late major scandal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the structural partisan advantage, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,714Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari faces limited opposition ahead of the July 21 primaries and November general election, with Republican primary candidate Nicholas Glenn drawing minimal attention in a district encompassing downtown and western Phoenix areas with high Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. This positioning aligns with the district's history of large Democratic margins. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen Democratic primary upset, late major scandal, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the structural partisan advantage, though such developments remain uncommon in similarly rated seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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