Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains a perennial swing seat where recent statewide Democratic wins, including by Sen. Ruben Gallego and Gov. Katie Hobbs, have shaped baseline expectations for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine veteran who has consistently led narrow head-to-head polling and outraised the incumbent through mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh the national midterm environment under President Trump, Ciscomani’s underwater favorability in district surveys, and Democratic messaging on costs and party alignment against Mendoza’s background as a lobbyist. A September 10 debate and ongoing attack ads from both campaigns have kept the race in focus without shifting the underlying positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,789 Объем
$11,789 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джоанна Мендоза (Д)
83%
Хуан Сискомани (Р)
18%
$11,789 Объем
$11,789 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джоанна Мендоза (Д)
$4,019 Объем
83%
Хуан Сискомани (Р)
$7,771 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains a perennial swing seat where recent statewide Democratic wins, including by Sen. Ruben Gallego and Gov. Katie Hobbs, have shaped baseline expectations for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine veteran who has consistently led narrow head-to-head polling and outraised the incumbent through mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh the national midterm environment under President Trump, Ciscomani’s underwater favorability in district surveys, and Democratic messaging on costs and party alignment against Mendoza’s background as a lobbyist. A September 10 debate and ongoing attack ads from both campaigns have kept the race in focus without shifting the underlying positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Объем
$11,789Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains a perennial swing seat where recent statewide Democratic wins, including by Sen. Ruben Gallego and Gov. Katie Hobbs, have shaped baseline expectations for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine veteran who has consistently led narrow head-to-head polling and outraised the incumbent through mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh the national midterm environment under President Trump, Ciscomani’s underwater favorability in district surveys, and Democratic messaging on costs and party alignment against Mendoza’s background as a lobbyist. A September 10 debate and ongoing attack ads from both campaigns have kept the race in focus without shifting the underlying positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,789Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains a perennial swing seat where recent statewide Democratic wins, including by Sen. Ruben Gallego and Gov. Katie Hobbs, have shaped baseline expectations for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine veteran who has consistently led narrow head-to-head polling and outraised the incumbent through mid-2026. Traders appear to weigh the national midterm environment under President Trump, Ciscomani’s underwater favorability in district surveys, and Democratic messaging on costs and party alignment against Mendoza’s background as a lobbyist. A September 10 debate and ongoing attack ads from both campaigns have kept the race in focus without shifting the underlying positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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