Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District general election as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean and her decisive 2025 special election victory following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 2026 primaries, and forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Grijalva’s established local profile, including prior service on the Pima County Board of Supervisors and Tucson school board, combined with the district’s consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus. Butierez, the Republican nominee who previously lost to both Grijalva and her father by wide margins, faces structural barriers in a constituency spanning Tucson, Yuma, and border communities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited realistic paths for change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$32,780 Объем
$32,780 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Аделита Грихальва (Д)
96%
Дэниел Бутьерез (Р)
5%
$32,780 Объем
$32,780 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Аделита Грихальва (Д)
$5,800 Объем
96%
Дэниел Бутьерез (Р)
$26,980 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District general election as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean and her decisive 2025 special election victory following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 2026 primaries, and forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Grijalva’s established local profile, including prior service on the Pima County Board of Supervisors and Tucson school board, combined with the district’s consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus. Butierez, the Republican nominee who previously lost to both Grijalva and her father by wide margins, faces structural barriers in a constituency spanning Tucson, Yuma, and border communities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited realistic paths for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$32,780Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District general election as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean and her decisive 2025 special election victory following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 2026 primaries, and forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Grijalva’s established local profile, including prior service on the Pima County Board of Supervisors and Tucson school board, combined with the district’s consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus. Butierez, the Republican nominee who previously lost to both Grijalva and her father by wide margins, faces structural barriers in a constituency spanning Tucson, Yuma, and border communities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited realistic paths for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,780Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District general election as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic lean and her decisive 2025 special election victory following the death of her father, Raúl Grijalva. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their July 2026 primaries, and forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Grijalva’s established local profile, including prior service on the Pima County Board of Supervisors and Tucson school board, combined with the district’s consistent voting patterns, underpins trader consensus. Butierez, the Republican nominee who previously lost to both Grijalva and her father by wide margins, faces structural barriers in a constituency spanning Tucson, Yuma, and border communities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical margins and current polling trends indicate limited realistic paths for change.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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