Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$10,301 Объем
$10,301 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$10,301 Объем
$10,301 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$3,996 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$6,305 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$10,301Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$10,301Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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