Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its rural and suburban voter base outside Gainesville, reflected in the 75% trader consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Incumbent Kat Cammack faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points, per nonpartisan rating firms. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for their primary, yet the seat's structural composition limits their general-election viability. With filing deadlines imminent and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events reported in recent weeks, current pricing aligns with historical patterns for similar Florida districts in midterm cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-03
$13,874 Объем
$13,874 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
75%
Демократическая партия
11%
$13,874 Объем
$13,874 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,569 Объем
75%
Демократическая партия
$5,304 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its rural and suburban voter base outside Gainesville, reflected in the 75% trader consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Incumbent Kat Cammack faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points, per nonpartisan rating firms. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for their primary, yet the seat's structural composition limits their general-election viability. With filing deadlines imminent and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events reported in recent weeks, current pricing aligns with historical patterns for similar Florida districts in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$13,874Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its rural and suburban voter base outside Gainesville, reflected in the 75% trader consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Incumbent Kat Cammack faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points, per nonpartisan rating firms. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for their primary, yet the seat's structural composition limits their general-election viability. With filing deadlines imminent and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events reported in recent weeks, current pricing aligns with historical patterns for similar Florida districts in midterm cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,874Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its rural and suburban voter base outside Gainesville, reflected in the 75% trader consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Incumbent Kat Cammack faces no significant primary opposition and benefits from the district's partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly 10 points, per nonpartisan rating firms. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for their primary, yet the seat's structural composition limits their general-election viability. With filing deadlines imminent and no major shifts in candidate fields or external events reported in recent weeks, current pricing aligns with historical patterns for similar Florida districts in midterm cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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