Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack faces limited opposition in Florida's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and rural-suburban composition outside Gainesville have produced consistent Republican margins, including Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024. Independent analyses rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee an 79% implied probability. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks, though Democratic primary contenders remain in early stages and general election challengers have yet to consolidate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-03
$13,853 Объем
$13,853 Объем
Республиканская партия
79%
Демократическая партия
11%
$13,853 Объем
$13,853 Объем
Республиканская партия
79%
Демократическая партия
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack faces limited opposition in Florida's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and rural-suburban composition outside Gainesville have produced consistent Republican margins, including Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024. Independent analyses rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee an 79% implied probability. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks, though Democratic primary contenders remain in early stages and general election challengers have yet to consolidate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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