Florida's 14th congressional district race remains tightly contested in trader pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+4, narrowing the incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's margin from prior cycles and opening a path for Republican challengers. Castor faces a Democratic primary on August 18 against Juan Arauz, while the GOP primary will also determine the nominee. Recent fundraising and candidate filings show both parties investing resources, with analysts noting the seat's vulnerability amid broader midterm dynamics and Florida's redistricting outcomes. Key factors that could widen the gap include primary results, national polling trends, and any late-cycle endorsements or spending shifts before the November ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-14
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-14
$21,127 Объем
$21,127 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
58%
Республиканская партия
48%
$21,127 Объем
$21,127 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,267 Объем
58%
Республиканская партия
$11,859 Объем
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district race remains tightly contested in trader pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+4, narrowing the incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's margin from prior cycles and opening a path for Republican challengers. Castor faces a Democratic primary on August 18 against Juan Arauz, while the GOP primary will also determine the nominee. Recent fundraising and candidate filings show both parties investing resources, with analysts noting the seat's vulnerability amid broader midterm dynamics and Florida's redistricting outcomes. Key factors that could widen the gap include primary results, national polling trends, and any late-cycle endorsements or spending shifts before the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Объем
$21,127Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district race remains tightly contested in trader pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+4, narrowing the incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's margin from prior cycles and opening a path for Republican challengers. Castor faces a Democratic primary on August 18 against Juan Arauz, while the GOP primary will also determine the nominee. Recent fundraising and candidate filings show both parties investing resources, with analysts noting the seat's vulnerability amid broader midterm dynamics and Florida's redistricting outcomes. Key factors that could widen the gap include primary results, national polling trends, and any late-cycle endorsements or spending shifts before the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,127Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district race remains tightly contested in trader pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+4, narrowing the incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's margin from prior cycles and opening a path for Republican challengers. Castor faces a Democratic primary on August 18 against Juan Arauz, while the GOP primary will also determine the nominee. Recent fundraising and candidate filings show both parties investing resources, with analysts noting the seat's vulnerability amid broader midterm dynamics and Florida's redistricting outcomes. Key factors that could widen the gap include primary results, national polling trends, and any late-cycle endorsements or spending shifts before the November ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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