Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested House race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 18. Post-redistricting maps have shifted the partisan balance, prompting Republican challengers including self-funded candidates Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele to enter the primary and target the seat held by Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor. Traders view the outcome as uncertain due to the district's altered electoral math, Castor's established name recognition and fundraising, and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that would clarify the general-election matchup. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap between the parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-14
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-14
$21,055 Объем
$21,055 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
52%
Демократическая партия
50%
$21,055 Объем
$21,055 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,853 Объем
52%
Демократическая партия
$9,202 Объем
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested House race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 18. Post-redistricting maps have shifted the partisan balance, prompting Republican challengers including self-funded candidates Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele to enter the primary and target the seat held by Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor. Traders view the outcome as uncertain due to the district's altered electoral math, Castor's established name recognition and fundraising, and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that would clarify the general-election matchup. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap between the parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Объем
$21,055Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested House race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 18. Post-redistricting maps have shifted the partisan balance, prompting Republican challengers including self-funded candidates Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele to enter the primary and target the seat held by Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor. Traders view the outcome as uncertain due to the district's altered electoral math, Castor's established name recognition and fundraising, and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that would clarify the general-election matchup. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap between the parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,055Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested House race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primaries scheduled for August 18. Post-redistricting maps have shifted the partisan balance, prompting Republican challengers including self-funded candidates Mike Beltran and Kevin Steele to enter the primary and target the seat held by Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor. Traders view the outcome as uncertain due to the district's altered electoral math, Castor's established name recognition and fundraising, and the absence of decisive polling or endorsements that would clarify the general-election matchup. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen the gap between the parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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