Incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s decades-long hold on Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district and its strong Democratic partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 House race. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, consistent with DeLauro’s repeated victories exceeding 58% in recent cycles. A May nominating convention and subsequent party panel ruling upheld her endorsement against primary challengers, removing near-term uncertainty ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders face structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current evidence shows no such movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCT-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
8%
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s decades-long hold on Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district and its strong Democratic partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic nominee in the 2026 House race. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, consistent with DeLauro’s repeated victories exceeding 58% in recent cycles. A May nominating convention and subsequent party panel ruling upheld her endorsement against primary challengers, removing near-term uncertainty ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders face structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current evidence shows no such movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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