Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s long tenure since 1991, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers and the district’s voting patterns in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The August 2026 Democratic primary features challengers but has not altered the general-election outlook. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary outcome, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs in New Haven and surrounding areas represent the main factors that could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar safe seats suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCT-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CT-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$2,280 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$4,034 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s long tenure since 1991, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers and the district’s voting patterns in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The August 2026 Democratic primary features challengers but has not altered the general-election outlook. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary outcome, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs in New Haven and surrounding areas represent the main factors that could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar safe seats suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$6,314Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s long tenure since 1991, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers and the district’s voting patterns in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The August 2026 Democratic primary features challengers but has not altered the general-election outlook. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary outcome, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs in New Haven and surrounding areas represent the main factors that could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar safe seats suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$6,314Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s long tenure since 1991, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challengers and the district’s voting patterns in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability. The August 2026 Democratic primary features challengers but has not altered the general-election outlook. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary outcome, or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs in New Haven and surrounding areas represent the main factors that could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for similar safe seats suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы