Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman emerged from a contested Democratic primary. NY-24, encompassing parts of central New York including Syracuse, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan ratings such as the Cook Political Report's Solid R designation. Limited available polling and fundraising patterns underscore Tenney's structural advantages in this district. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican nominee an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency effects, though the November general election remains the decisive event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-24
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-24
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
87%
Демократическая партия
10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$3,549 Объем
87%
Демократическая партия
$3,496 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman emerged from a contested Democratic primary. NY-24, encompassing parts of central New York including Syracuse, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan ratings such as the Cook Political Report's Solid R designation. Limited available polling and fundraising patterns underscore Tenney's structural advantages in this district. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican nominee an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency effects, though the November general election remains the decisive event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$7,045Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman emerged from a contested Democratic primary. NY-24, encompassing parts of central New York including Syracuse, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan ratings such as the Cook Political Report's Solid R designation. Limited available polling and fundraising patterns underscore Tenney's structural advantages in this district. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican nominee an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency effects, though the November general election remains the decisive event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,045Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Alissa Ellman emerged from a contested Democratic primary. NY-24, encompassing parts of central New York including Syracuse, maintains a consistent Republican tilt reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan ratings such as the Cook Political Report's Solid R designation. Limited available polling and fundraising patterns underscore Tenney's structural advantages in this district. Trader consensus on prediction markets assigns the Republican nominee an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district's voting history and incumbency effects, though the November general election remains the decisive event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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