Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in June primaries, leaving Kennedy with substantial fundraising advantages and established party infrastructure heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting index and historical results. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing a Republican upset as low probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-26
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-26
$34,696 Объем
$34,696 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Тим Кеннеди (Д)
96%
Деннис Хэннон (Р)
3%
$34,696 Объем
$34,696 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Тим Кеннеди (Д)
$22,493 Объем
96%
Деннис Хэннон (Р)
$12,203 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in June primaries, leaving Kennedy with substantial fundraising advantages and established party infrastructure heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting index and historical results. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing a Republican upset as low probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$34,696Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in June primaries, leaving Kennedy with substantial fundraising advantages and established party infrastructure heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting index and historical results. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing a Republican upset as low probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,696Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area and his 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in June primaries, leaving Kennedy with substantial fundraising advantages and established party infrastructure heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan voting index and historical results. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, pricing a Republican upset as low probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national political shift could still alter dynamics before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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