Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23, 2026, to disqualify the Ra’am party from the October 27 Knesset elections by an 18-5 margin, citing petitions from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups alleging support for armed struggle or rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. Ra’am and the Joint List immediately announced appeals to the Supreme Court, which is scheduled to hear the cases the following week. Historical precedent shows the Court has repeatedly overturned similar Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab lists when evidence thresholds were not met. The Attorney General opposed Ra’am’s exclusion, further supporting expectations that the party will remain eligible to compete.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
11% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
Да
11% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 окт. 2026 г.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23, 2026, to disqualify the Ra’am party from the October 27 Knesset elections by an 18-5 margin, citing petitions from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups alleging support for armed struggle or rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. Ra’am and the Joint List immediately announced appeals to the Supreme Court, which is scheduled to hear the cases the following week. Historical precedent shows the Court has repeatedly overturned similar Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab lists when evidence thresholds were not met. The Attorney General opposed Ra’am’s exclusion, further supporting expectations that the party will remain eligible to compete.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070be91...Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23, 2026, to disqualify the Ra’am party from the October 27 Knesset elections by an 18-5 margin, citing petitions from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups alleging support for armed struggle or rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. Ra’am and the Joint List immediately announced appeals to the Supreme Court, which is scheduled to hear the cases the following week. Historical precedent shows the Court has repeatedly overturned similar Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab lists when evidence thresholds were not met. The Attorney General opposed Ra’am’s exclusion, further supporting expectations that the party will remain eligible to compete.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070be91...Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23, 2026, to disqualify the Ra’am party from the October 27 Knesset elections by an 18-5 margin, citing petitions from Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups alleging support for armed struggle or rejection of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state. Ra’am and the Joint List immediately announced appeals to the Supreme Court, which is scheduled to hear the cases the following week. Historical precedent shows the Court has repeatedly overturned similar Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab lists when evidence thresholds were not met. The Attorney General opposed Ra’am’s exclusion, further supporting expectations that the party will remain eligible to compete.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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