Recent polling shows the BC NDP holding a modest lead over the Conservatives (typically 41-45% to 35-37%), positioning the governing party as the favorite in the snap election called for October 24, 2026. Premier David Eby’s decision to dissolve the legislature capitalized on acute opposition instability, including the recent resignation of Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, multiple defections, expulsions, and subsequent realignments involving CentreBC and interim Conservative leadership under Lorne Doerkson. These developments have consolidated right-of-centre support but left limited time for recovery during the abbreviated campaign. Traders appear to weigh the NDP’s incumbency and urban strength against regional Conservative advantages and broader voter discontent with provincial direction, resulting in the current implied probabilities. Minor parties such as the Greens remain marginal in seat projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНДП 70%
Консерваторы 32%
OneBC 2.2%
CentreBC 1.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 окт. 2026 г.
НДП
70%
Консерваторы
32%
OneBC
2%
CentreBC
2%
Зелёные
2%
НДП 70%
Консерваторы 32%
OneBC 2.2%
CentreBC 1.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 окт. 2026 г.
НДП
$120 Объем
70%
Консерваторы
$182 Объем
32%
OneBC
$65 Объем
2%
CentreBC
$65 Объем
2%
Зелёные
$65 Объем
2%
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent polling shows the BC NDP holding a modest lead over the Conservatives (typically 41-45% to 35-37%), positioning the governing party as the favorite in the snap election called for October 24, 2026. Premier David Eby’s decision to dissolve the legislature capitalized on acute opposition instability, including the recent resignation of Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, multiple defections, expulsions, and subsequent realignments involving CentreBC and interim Conservative leadership under Lorne Doerkson. These developments have consolidated right-of-centre support but left limited time for recovery during the abbreviated campaign. Traders appear to weigh the NDP’s incumbency and urban strength against regional Conservative advantages and broader voter discontent with provincial direction, resulting in the current implied probabilities. Minor parties such as the Greens remain marginal in seat projections.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Объем
$497Дата окончания
24 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 9:50 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent polling shows the BC NDP holding a modest lead over the Conservatives (typically 41-45% to 35-37%), positioning the governing party as the favorite in the snap election called for October 24, 2026. Premier David Eby’s decision to dissolve the legislature capitalized on acute opposition instability, including the recent resignation of Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, multiple defections, expulsions, and subsequent realignments involving CentreBC and interim Conservative leadership under Lorne Doerkson. These developments have consolidated right-of-centre support but left limited time for recovery during the abbreviated campaign. Traders appear to weigh the NDP’s incumbency and urban strength against regional Conservative advantages and broader voter discontent with provincial direction, resulting in the current implied probabilities. Minor parties such as the Greens remain marginal in seat projections.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Объем
$497Дата окончания
24 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 9:50 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the BC NDP holding a modest lead over the Conservatives (typically 41-45% to 35-37%), positioning the governing party as the favorite in the snap election called for October 24, 2026. Premier David Eby’s decision to dissolve the legislature capitalized on acute opposition instability, including the recent resignation of Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, multiple defections, expulsions, and subsequent realignments involving CentreBC and interim Conservative leadership under Lorne Doerkson. These developments have consolidated right-of-centre support but left limited time for recovery during the abbreviated campaign. Traders appear to weigh the NDP’s incumbency and urban strength against regional Conservative advantages and broader voter discontent with provincial direction, resulting in the current implied probabilities. Minor parties such as the Greens remain marginal in seat projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли Консервативная партия второе по количеству мест число на всеобщих выборах в Британской Колумбии в 2026 году?
62%
Да
Выиграют ли Зелёные третье по количеству мест число мандатов на всеобщих выборах в Британской Колумбии 2026 года?
76%
Да
Станет ли Дэвид Эби следующим премьером Британской Колумбии?
66%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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