Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in Texas's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability. The district's strong Republican lean, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, combined with Gill's decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly advanced from his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns suggest limited room for such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,720 Объем
$34,720 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Брэндон Гилл (Р)
97%
Стивен Шук (Д)
2%
$34,720 Объем
$34,720 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Брэндон Гилл (Р)
$22,402 Объем
97%
Стивен Шук (Д)
$12,318 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in Texas's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability. The district's strong Republican lean, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, combined with Gill's decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly advanced from his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns suggest limited room for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$34,720Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in Texas's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability. The district's strong Republican lean, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, combined with Gill's decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly advanced from his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns suggest limited room for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,720Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in Texas's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability. The district's strong Republican lean, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, combined with Gill's decisive primary win and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly advanced from his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unexpectedly strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns suggest limited room for such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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