Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Arlington, Alexandria, and parts of Fairfax County, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Don Beyer secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers and faces Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former CIA and Secret Service officer who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Beyer's prior general-election margins exceeding 45 points and Kamala Harris's 19.5-point 2024 presidential win in the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national swing could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$40,461 Объем
$40,461 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
2%
$40,461 Объем
$40,461 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,714 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$27,747 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Arlington, Alexandria, and parts of Fairfax County, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Don Beyer secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers and faces Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former CIA and Secret Service officer who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Beyer's prior general-election margins exceeding 45 points and Kamala Harris's 19.5-point 2024 presidential win in the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national swing could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$40,461Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Arlington, Alexandria, and parts of Fairfax County, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Don Beyer secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers and faces Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former CIA and Secret Service officer who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Beyer's prior general-election margins exceeding 45 points and Kamala Harris's 19.5-point 2024 presidential win in the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national swing could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,461Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Arlington, Alexandria, and parts of Fairfax County, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+26. Incumbent Democrat Don Beyer secured renomination in the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against several challengers and faces Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former CIA and Secret Service officer who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Beyer's prior general-election margins exceeding 45 points and Kamala Harris's 19.5-point 2024 presidential win in the district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national swing could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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